Mylab Operations Management With Pearson Etext -- Access Card -- For Operations Management: Sustainability And Supply Chain Management (13th Edition)
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Chapter A, Problem 22P

a)

Summary Introduction

To determine: The decision tree for the given situation.

Introduction: Decision-making is a process that helps to make decision. It is the process of choosing a best alternative by evaluating many alternatives.

b)

Summary Introduction

To determine: The best strategy using EMV (Expected Monetary Value).

Introduction: Decision-making is a process that helps to make decision. It is the process of choosing a best alternative by evaluating many alternatives.

c)

Summary Introduction

To determine: The Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI).

Introduction: Decision-making is a process that helps to make decision. It is the process of choosing a best alternative by evaluating many alternatives.

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Question 1  Given the following payoff table with the profits ($m), a firm might expect alternative investments (A, B, C) under different levels of interest rate. payoffs as profits states of nature     decision alternatives 1(5%) 2(7%) 3(9%) A 14 22 6 B 19 18 11 C 12 17 15 a. Use the alternative method to verify EVPI NOW ASSUME THAT THE PAYOFFS ARE COSTS ANSWER THE FOLLOWING: b. What is the most the firm should be willing to pay to obtain further (perfect) information (EVPI)? c. Use the alternative method to verify EVPI. Please answer all three parts of Question 1.
QUESTION SIX (a) Suppose that a decision is faced with three decision alternatives and four states of nature. The following profit payoff table is constructed:  Alternatives State of Nature 1S 2 S 3 S 4 S 1Α 2Α 3Α 18 15 13 12 14 16 15 10 19 8 11 15  Assuming that the decision maker has no knowledge about the probabilities of occurrence of the four states of nature, find the decisions to be recommended under each of the following criteria:                               iii. Minimax Reject criterion                                                                        iv. Hurwicz criterion with 0.6 α =
Question 13 The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations. Alternatives Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Do Nothing States of Nature B 140 100 120 0 A 120 200 100 0 C 120 O b. Do Nothing O c. State of Nature A Od. Alternative 1 Oe. Alternative 3 50 180 0 What decision would an optimist make? a. Alternative 2
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