Mylab Operations Management With Pearson Etext -- Access Card -- For Operations Management: Sustainability And Supply Chain Management (13th Edition)
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Chapter A, Problem 7DQ
Summary Introduction

To define: Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI)

Introduction: Decision tree is one of the methods used indecision-making process. It would graphically represent the available alternatives and states of nature. It would also mention the payoffs and probabilities of the alternatives. It helps to choose the best alternative that would give the best result among the alternatives.

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Question 4 A report that could include number of cars which were returned in a month because of serious defects is: Key-indicator report Scheduled report Demand report Exception report
Which of the following is not a benefit of risk mapping and prioritisation?   Question 5 options:   Risk maps are key graphical representations of the variance in risk appetites across different divisions within an organisation.   Ranking risks by their level of severity helps an organisation determine the optimal allocation of resources devoted to risk response or treatment.    Helps the organisation identify how certain risks can offset other risks to ensure that the enterprise maintains an overall risk profile that remains within risk capacity.   The results help an enterprise to communicate better its risk aggregated risk profile to key external stakeholders.
QUESTION 3 (Using the same problem) A vendor for the local ballpark food stand is questioning whether to stock his concession with a large or small inventory. He believes that it will depend upon the size of the crowd. He has developed a payoff matrix for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and states of nature (size of crowd). What is the Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI)? PROFIT ($) Average Crowd $50,000 $70,000 .50 Alternatives Large Inventory Small Inventory Probability * A) $68,400 B) $78,400 C) $10,000 D) -$20,000 O E) $51,500 Large Crowd $220,000 $90,000 .20 Small Crowd -$2,000 -$5,000 30
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