A local real estate investor in Kingston is considering three investments: a motel, a restaurant, or a theatre. Profits from the motel or restaurant will be affected by the availability of gasoline and the number of tourist; Profits from the theatre will be relatively stable under any conditions. The following payoff table shows the profit or loss that could result from each investment: Real Estate Investor Payoff Table Payoffs are Profits States of Nature (Gasoline Avaliability) Decision Alternatives Shortage Stable Supply Surplus Motel $8,000 $15,000 $22,000 Restaurant $2,000 $8000 $6,000 Theater $6,000 $6,000 $5,000 Which option should the real estate investor choose if he uses the Equal Likelihood criterion? Using a maximax approach, what alternative should the real estate investor choose? Using the Maximum approach, what alternative should the real estate investor choose?
A local real estate investor in Kingston is considering three investments: a motel, a restaurant, or a theatre. Profits from the motel or restaurant will be affected by the availability of gasoline and the number of tourist; Profits from the theatre will be relatively stable under any conditions. The following payoff table shows the profit or loss that could result from each investment: Real Estate Investor Payoff Table Payoffs are Profits States of Nature (Gasoline Avaliability) Decision Alternatives Shortage Stable Supply Surplus Motel $8,000 $15,000 $22,000 Restaurant $2,000 $8000 $6,000 Theater $6,000 $6,000 $5,000 Which option should the real estate investor choose if he uses the Equal Likelihood criterion? Using a maximax approach, what alternative should the real estate investor choose? Using the Maximum approach, what alternative should the real estate investor choose?
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 30P
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A local real estate investor in Kingston is considering three investments: a motel, a restaurant, or a theatre. Profits from the motel or restaurant will be affected by the availability of gasoline and the number of tourist; Profits from the theatre will be relatively stable under any conditions. The following payoff table shows the profit or loss that could result from each investment:
Real Estate Investor Payoff Table
|
|
Payoffs are Profits |
||
|
|
States of Nature (Gasoline Avaliability) |
||
|
Decision Alternatives |
Shortage |
Stable Supply |
Surplus |
|
Motel |
$8,000 |
$15,000 |
$22,000 |
|
Restaurant |
$2,000 |
$8000 |
$6,000 |
|
Theater |
$6,000 |
$6,000 |
$5,000 |
- Which option should the real estate investor choose if he uses the Equal Likelihood criterion?
- Using a maximax approach, what alternative should the real estate investor choose?
- Using the Maximum approach, what alternative should the real estate investor choose?
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