EBK OM
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781305888210
Author: Collier
Publisher: YUZU
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Chapter 18, Problem 4DQ
Summary Introduction
Interpretation:The steps taken by the project manager are to be determined along with whether the decisions would be different if probability was calculated as 0.75 and whether an individual would take risk of failure to complete the project on time.
Concept Introduction:PERT is project evaluation and review technique help managers to monitor the large and complex projects.
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For this assignment, you will design a risk management plan for a project titled “prolonged waiting times for patients in a large outpatient hospital” that will include the following elements:
Risk Register/Matrix (list of at least 5 (five) risks along with the associated impact and probability scores along with risk score)
Contingency plan (list of any risks you will plan for in advance along with what triggers the contingency).
Be sure to include any information useful to stakeholders on the rationale for the creation of these elements as well as any outside references supporting the risk management plan.
If you are working on the project for Company ‘B’, then please write at least 6 major Risk factors, you can foresee, that may arise during the execution of the project. You are also required to recommend the risk mitigation (risk control) steps against each risk.
The chart below shows the initial investment and expected yearly payback for Project A and Project B
Project A
Project B
Initial Investment
$ 300,000
$ 450,000
Expected Yearly PayBack
$ 45,000
$ 90,000
For Project A, There has been a change in the expected yearly payback.
Years 1 and 2 – you are expecting $45,000 each year.
For the next three years, you are expecting $70,000 each year.
What would be the average ROI for this alternative?
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- Using your results from Problem 6,(a) Calculate the probability that the project will be completedin 38 weeks.(b) Calculate the probability that the project will be completedin 42 weeksarrow_forwardInvestment timing option: left Table shows the investment made now (year 0); right Table shows the investment made 1 year later. Discount rate is r = 10%. Probability Year 0 0.50 -$28 0.50 -$10 $11 None of the others is correct $10 Year 1 $55 $22 If this project's uncertainty in Year 0 (two scenarios with 50% chance each) is completely gone right after the end of year 0, i.e., you will know which scenario turns out to be true right after Year 0, then what is the value of this investment timing option today? [Hint: value of the option = E[NPV with option] - E[NPV] =?] 3 Year 2 $0 Probability Year 0 0.50 $0 0.50 Year 1 -$28 -$28 Year 2 $55 $22arrow_forwardYou have been hired by a contractor, who wants you to manage a constructionproject for one of their clients. The project team has been working for twomonths, and is 35% done with the job. Two of your team members come toyou with a conflict about how to handle the ongoing maintenance for a pieceof equipment. You know that they can safely ignore the problem for a while,and you’re concerned that if your project falls behind schedule before nextweek’s stakeholder meeting, it will cause problems in the future. You tell thetwo team members that the problem really isn’t as bad as they think it is, andif they take a few days to cool off about it you’ll help them with a solution.This approach to conflict resolution is known as ______.A. WithdrawalB. CompromiseC. SmoothingD. Forcing You are a project manager for a software project. As you are defining thescope of the work you need to do, you sit down with all of the project’sstakeholders and record all of the requirements you can get from…arrow_forward
- The expected number of days to completion for a different project is E(x) = 3.32 The variance of days to completion is var(x) = 1.22 The project cost involves A fixed cost (in thousands of dollars) of FC = $83.783 A variable cost for each day taken to complete the project ($000) VC = $9.774 16 The standard deviation of the project cost is $________. a 13.041 b 12.245 c 11.497 d 10.796arrow_forwardrisk in a project environment are always negative or condidered to be the threats to project objectives True or falsearrow_forwardc. What is the expected project completion time? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) Project completion time d. What is the probability of completing this project within 16 days? (Use Excel's NORMSDIST() function to find the correct probability for your computed Z-value. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round "2" value to 2 decimal places and final answer to 4 decimal places.) Probability 10 00 days 09994arrow_forward
- Discuss the most common sources of risk in IT projects, as well as mitigation strategies. How do decision trees and Monte Carlo analysis quantify risk?arrow_forward2. Compute the followings: (a) The probability that the project will finish by the end of day 50 (b) The probability that the project will finish at day 52 (c) The probability that the project will finish before the start of day 49. (d) The completion date with at least a 95% confidence levelarrow_forwardTwo new Internet site projects are proposed to a young start -up company. Project A will cost $250,000 to implement and is expected to have annual net cash flows of $75,000. Project B will cost $150,000 to implement and should generate annual net cash flows of $52,000. The compnay is very concerned about their cash flow. Using the payback period, which project is better, from a cash flow standpoint?arrow_forward
- You are working on a manufacturing project having a budget of PKR 3,600,000 and expected time of its completion is one year. There is an ideal condition that your budget and work are evenly spread across the duration of the project that is twelve month. At the end of forth month, the senior management has called a meeting and invited all the stakeholders to brief about the status of the project. You being the PM of this project is giving the presentation to all the attendees and informed that project is on schedule and PKR 1,800,000 have already been spent on the project. Required: Calculate Cost and Schedule Variance What is SPI and CPI of the project? Estimate at completion and Estimated time to complete?arrow_forwardThe Budget at Completion (BAC) is the sum of all budgeted values established for the work to be performed on a project. As such it is equivalent to: Select one: a. the total planned value of the project. b. the total earned value of the project. c. the total actual cost of the project. d. the total value of the work completed to datearrow_forwardThe following information relates to a project (task times are in weeks). Use the information to solve for the critical path and then to determine the probability that the project could be completed within 36 weeks. Task A B C D E F Preceding Tasks to 4 4 2 None A B D, E tm 6 7 7 8 13 9 8 0 W CON 6 tp 8 10 12 18 15 10 Click the icon to view the table of standard normal probabilities. The probability that the project is completed within 36 weeks is. (Enter your response rounded to four decimal places.)arrow_forward
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