Investment timing option: left Table shows the investment made now (year 0); rightTable shows the investment made 1 year later. Discount rate is r = 10%.Probability Year 00.50-$280.50-$10$11None of the others is correct$10Year 1$55$22If this project's uncertainty in Year 0 (two scenarios with 50% chance each) iscompletely gone right after the end of year 0, i.e., you will know which scenario turnsout to be true right after Year 0, then what is the value of this investment timingoption today? [Hint: value of the option = E[NPV with option] - E[NPV] =?]3Year 2$0Probability Year 00.50$00.50Year 1-$28-$28Year 2$55$22

Given:Discount Factor (r) = 10% = 0.10PV of cash flow is calculated using the formula :PV table of…

Answered: Investment timing option: left Table…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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The following information relates to a project (task times are in weeks). Use the information to solve for the critical path and then to determine the probability that the project could be completed within 36 weeks. Task A B C D E F Preceding Tasks to 4 4 2 None A B D, E tm 6 7 7 8 13 9 8 0 W CON 6 tp 8 10 12 18 15 10 Click the icon to view the table of standard normal probabilities. The probability that the project is completed within 36 weeks is. (Enter your response rounded to four decimal places.)
Cachora Dynamics Corp (CDC) has designed a new integrated circuit that will allow it to enter, if it wishes, the microcomputer field. Otherwise, it can sell its rights for $15 million. If it chooses to build computers, the profitability of this project depends on the company's ability to market them during the first year. Two levels of sales are foreseen as two possible outcomes: selling 10,000 computers in case of low demand, but if it is successful it can sell up to 100,000 units (high demand). The cost of installing the production line is $6 million. The difference between the selling price and the variable cost of each computer is $600. a) Develop a formulation for decision analysis and use the non-probabilistic decision rules: Maximin and Minimax. b) Assume that the probability of high demand (p) is 50% and for low demand (1 - p) is 50%, apply the probabilistic criteria: Maximum expected value, Minimum loss of opportunity. c) Determine the VEIP. d) Carry out a sensitivity…
1. Kirsten is trying to decide where to go for her well-earned vacation. She would like to camp, but if the weather is bad, she will have to go to a motel. Given the costs and probabilities of bad weather given below, which destination should she choose? Camping cost Motel cost Probability of bad weather Nevada $21.2 $80.9 0.2 Oregon $15.9 $84.6 0.4 California $30 $95 0.1 a. California, because its EMV = $33.14 b. Nevada, because its EMV = $33.14 c. California, because its EMV = $36.5 d. Any of the 3 choices. e. Oregon, because its EMV = $43.38 f. Nevada, because its EMV = $43.38 g. None of the 3 choices. h. Oregon, because its EMV is $36.50.
GreenLeaf Electronics offers a new gadget that has been gaining popularity. The probability distribution for the number of gadgets sold per day is provided below. Calculate the average number of gadgets sold per day and determine the variance. NUMBER OF GADGETS SOLD PROBABILITY100 0.10200 0.15300 0.25400 0.25500 0.20600 0.05
Build-Rite Construction has received favorable publicity from guest appearances on a public TV home improvement program. Public TV programming decisions seem to be unpredictable, so Build-Rite cannot estimate the probability of continued benefits from its relationship with the show. Demand for home improvements next year may be either low or high. But Build-Rite must decide now whether to hire more employees, do nothing, or develop subcontracts with other home improvement contractors. Build-Rite has developed the following payoff table:
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2 true or false If the decision doesn’t involve risk and uncertainty, utility is the numerical score to measure the attractiveness of a course of action.
The chart below shows the initial investment and expected yearly payback for Project A and Project B Project A Project B Initial Investment $ 300,000 $ 450,000 Expected Yearly PayBack $ 45,000 $ 90,000 For Project A, There has been a change in the expected yearly payback. Years 1 and 2 – you are expecting $45,000 each year. For the next three years, you are expecting $70,000 each year. What would be the average ROI for this alternative?
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Build-Rite Construction has received favorable publicity from guest appearances on a public TV home improvement program. Public TV programming decisions seem to be unpredictable, so Build-Rite cannot estimate the probability of continued benefits from its relationship with the show. Demand for home improvements next year may be either low or high. But Build-Rite must decide now whether to hire more employees, do nothing, or develop subcontracts with other home improvement contractors. Build-Rite has developed the following payoff table: Alternative Hire Subcontract Do nothing DEMAND FOR HOME IMPROVEMENTS Low Moderate High ($139,000) $183,000 $448,000 $85,000 $158,000 $587,000 $100,000 $143,000 $411,000 Show Transcribed Text Which alternative is best, according to each of the following decision criteria? a. Maximin b. Maximax c. Laplace d. Minimax Regret
Use the identified following five cost risks , and do the qualitative analysis of risk using the risk matrix shown below? 1. Scope Creep 2. Uncertain Market Conditions 3- Inadequate Risk Assessment 4. Poorly Defined Project Requirements 5. Unforeseen Site Conditions

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