What is the expected percentage change in the value of the foreign currency (e) if you combine all three techniques, which are equally weighted? Method Technical forecasting Fundamental forecasting Market-based forecasting 0.3% 4.6% O 4.7% O 2.0% Forecasted e 2% 8%
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- Measuring Forecast Accuracy You are hired as a consultant to assess a firm’s ability to forecast. The firm has developed a point forecast for two different currencies presented in the following table. The firm asks you to determine which currency was forecasted with greater accuracy. PERIOD YEN FORECAST ACTUALYEN VALUE POUND FORECAST ACTUAL POUND VALUE 1 $.0050 $.0051 $1.50 $1.51 2 .0048 .0052 1.53 1.50 3 .0053 .0052 1.55 1.58 4 .0055 .0056 1.49 1.52Consider the following money market information being quoted: Which of the following statements is true? Particulars GBP Interest Rate THB Interest Rate Spot Rate 1-year Expected Spot Rate Bid Rate 6.100% 10.550% THB5.6601/GBP THB5.9037/GBP C. Ask Rate 6.125% 10.625% THB5.6622/GBP THB5.9961/GBP a. There is an arbitrage which can only be made by initially borrowing GBP and then investing in THB. b. More than one of the options in this question are correct. The THB is selling at a premium to the GBP in the future. O d. There is an arbitrage which can only be made by initially borrowing THB and then investing in GBP.Which one is correct answer please confirm? Q1: If the return on U.S. Treasury bills is 7.02%, the risk premium is 2.32%, and the inflation rate is 4.16%, then the real rate of return is ____. a. 2.86% b. 7.02% c. 4.70% d. 6.48%
- State ofEconomy Probabilityof State Return on AssetDin State Return on AssetEin State Return on AssetFin State Boom 0.35 0.060 0.310 0.25 Normal 0.50 0.060 0.180 0.20 Recession 0.15 0.060 -0.210 0.10 A. Calculate the expected return (mean) for each security.Assume the following information: Predicted Value of Realized Value of Period New Zealand Dollar New Zealand Dollar 1 $.52 $.50 2 .54 .60 3 .44 .40 4 .51 .50 Given this information, What is absolute forecast error as a percentage of the the second period? a. 6.5% b. 6% c. 26% d. 10% e. 1.5%H10. Assume that initially, the risk premium, ρ = 0 and that the domestic and foreign interest rates are given by R = .06, R* = .05. Suppose that the risk premium depends linearly on the difference between domestic government debt, B, and domestic assets of the central bank, A, i.e., ρ = ρ (B-A) Find the new domestic interest rate if a sterilized purchase of foreign assets adjusts A s.t. (a) B - A = -.01/ ρ0 (b) B - A = .03/ ρ0
- Which of the following instruments has the highest cost? Seleccione una: a. Fed Funds b. Commercial Paper c. Eurodollars d. Prime rateWhich of the following statements is false? A. Basel II use the value at risk (VaR) with a one-year time horizon and a 99.9% confidence level for calculating capital for credit risk and operational risk. B. 20 BP = 0.2% C. Basel I is increasing the amount of capital that banks are required to hold and the proportion of that capital that must be equity. D. Model-building approach is a model for the joint distribution of changes in market variables and using historical data to estimate the model parameters.You have the following information: t1 t2 t3 t4 TSLA Returns 0.05 -0.04 0.1 -0.01 Market Returns 0 -0.04 0.01 0.01 What is the Covariance of TSLA and the Market? Type your answer as decimal (i.e. 0.052 and not 5.2%). Round your answer to the nearest four decimals if needed.
- Assume the following information: Predicted Value of Realized Value of Period New Zealand Dollar New Zealand Dollar 1 $.52 $.50 2 .54 .60 3 .44 .42 4 .51 .55 Given this information, the mean absolute forecast error as a percentage of the realized value is about: A. 2.87%. B. 6.50%. C. 26.0%. D. none is correct E. 6.00%.Exercice 5 ( Answer question 4 to 6) The expected return on treasury bills E(RF)= 4% Calculate the expected return E(.) for the market portfolio, the FGL security and the SDL Calculate the variance and standard deviation for the market portfolio, FGL security and SDL Calculate the covariance between the market portfolio and the FGL security, and the covariance between the market portfolio and the SDL Calculate the correlation coefficient between the market portfolio and the FGL security, and the correlation coefficient between the market portfolio and the SDL security. Calculate the beta of FGL stock relative to the market portfolio with two different methods. Calculate the beta of the SDL stock relative to the market portfolio with two different Calculate the expected return of the Pfl portfolio composed of 70% FGL stock and 30% SDL stock, what is the beta of this portfolio? Using CAPM assess the performance of FGL and SDL securities, Are they overvalued or undervalued? Which of…PQ 3 In which of the following relationships between the expected future spot rate (E(e)) of a foreign currency and the current forward rate (e fwd) of a foreign currency would a speculator have an incentive to sell foreign currency in the forward market? a. E (e) = e fwd bb. E(e) greater than e fwd c. E(e) less than e fwd d. E (e) = (1/d fwd)