Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)
12th Edition
ISBN: 9780134741062
Author: Lee J. Krajewski, Manoj K. Malhotra, Larry P. Ritzman
Publisher: PEARSON
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Question
Chapter A, Problem 20P
Summary Introduction
Interpretation: A decision tree for the three options described in problem 19 needs to be drawn. The management’s decision in order to achieve the highest expected payoff needs to be found out.
Concept Introduction: The measure of likelihood that an event will happen, in a random experiment is called probability.
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Students have asked these similar questions
Define the goal of decision analysis and how different decision makers may approach risk in their terms of assessment utility.
The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives adn various levels of demand at Robert Klassan's print shop:
decision low high
alt 1 $10,000 $36,000
alt 2 $6,000 $38,000
alt 3 -$2500 $52,000
The probability of low demand is 0.40 whereas the probability of high demand is 0.60.
a) The alternative that provides Robert the greatest expected monetary value is _________
The EMV for this decision is $_______
b) The expected value with perfect information (EVwPI)= $______
c) The expected value of perfect information (EVPI) for Robert= $________
Leisure Corporation’s decision to produce a new line of recreational products resulted in the need to construct either a small plant or a large plant. The best plant size depends on how the marketplace reacts to the new product line. To conduct an analysis, marketing management has decided to view the possible long-run demand as low, medium, or high. The following payoff table shows the projected profit in millions of dollars:
Profits
Long-Run Demand
Low
Medium
High
Small Plant
150
200
200
Large Plant
50
200
500
If Leisure Corporation has an extremely pessimistic outlook on demand, would it build a small or a large plant?
If Leisure Corporation wanted to minimize the maximum opportunity losses (regrets), would it build a small or a large plant?
Chapter A Solutions
Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)
Ch. A - Mary Williams, owner of Williams Products, is...Ch. A - Prob. 2PCh. A - An interactive television service that costs $10...Ch. A - A restaurant is considering adding fresh brook...Ch. A - Spartan Castings must implement a manufacturing...Ch. A - A news clipping service is considering...Ch. A - Prob. 7PCh. A - Techno Corporation is currently manufacturing an...Ch. A - The Tri-County Generation and Transmission...Ch. A - Prob. 10P
Ch. A - Tri-County G&T sells 150,000 MWh per year of...Ch. A - The Forsite Company is screening three ideas for...Ch. A - Prob. 13PCh. A - Prob. 14PCh. A - Janice Gould of Krebs Consulting is in the process...Ch. A - Build-Rite Construction has received favorable...Ch. A - Prob. 17PCh. A - Prob. 18PCh. A - Prob. 20PCh. A - Prob. 21PCh. A - Prob. 22PCh. A - Prob. 24P
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