Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)
Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)
12th Edition
ISBN: 9780134741062
Author: Lee J. Krajewski, Manoj K. Malhotra, Larry P. Ritzman
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 8, Problem 26P

A

Summary Introduction

Interpretation:The better forecast using visibility forecast of second year which is set at 100 is to be chosen.

Concept Introduction:Method of time series that viewed coming period forecast is observations of current period is one period moving average

B

Summary Introduction

Interpretation:The better forecast using visibility forecast of third year which is set at 100 with supporting basis is to be estimated.

Concept IntroductionVisibility forecast is a method of forecast based upon visibility of reading either above or below 100 showing the air pollution. As it is low when it is below 100 and high when above 100.

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In each of the following, name the term defined or answer the question. Answers are listed at the bottom.1. This is a type of forecast used to make long-term decisions, such as where to locate a warehouse or how many employees to have in a plant next year.2. This is the type of demand that is most appropriate for using forecasting models.3. This is a term used for actually influencing the sale of a product or service.4. These are the six major components of demand. 5. This type of analysis is most appropriate when the past is a good predictor of the future.6. This is identifying and separating time series data into components of demand.7. If the demand in the current week was 102 units and we had forecast it to be 125, what would be next week’s forecast using an exponential smoothing model with an alpha of 0.3?
Case Study 1: Forecasting Your line manager, Ms Lionheart, has collected and scrutinised performance data for the company. She was concerned that the inventories were high for certain products which had resulted in significant price reductions and losses for the company. At the same time, the company had run out of stock for other items early in the season resulting in unsatisfied customers and lost sales. Ms Lionheart has concluded that the problem was not with the specific products carried in the stock, but with the quantities ordered by the procurement department for two popular products; Dog Ball Launcher and Lightweight Dog Lead. Dog Ball Launcher is a product carried by the company for the past four years. Quarterly demand data for the past four years are shown in table 1. Last year the company seemed to always be out of stock for this item. The model used by the procurement department to forecast demand for this product over the last two years has been Multiplicative Seasonal…
Company XYZ is a movie distribution company. It has kept records of total annual movie ticket sales for one community over last 4 years: Actual Sale 2015 96,480 94,300 97,800 92,100 2016 2017 2018 You used the moving average method to forecast 2018 sale using 2015, 2016 and 2017 information. And then you used the exponential smoothing model to forecast 2019 sale based on 2018 information, using alpha = 0.3. What is the forecasted 2019 sale? 8:42 pm

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Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)

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