Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)
Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)
12th Edition
ISBN: 9780134741062
Author: Lee J. Krajewski, Manoj K. Malhotra, Larry P. Ritzman
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 8, Problem 14P
Summary Introduction

Interpretation: The actual sales forecasts for November to December using trend projection with regression method

Concept Introduction: Trend refers to data series tendency (increasing or decreasing) in a particular time and forecasting refers to estimation of a future event during a fixed time and trend projection with regression is mean of estimation with the help of regression line

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The demand for Krispee Crunchies, a favorite breakfast cereal of people born in the 1940s, is experiencing a decline. The company wants to monitor demand for this product closely as it nears the end of its life cycle. The following table shows the actual sales history for January–October. Generate forecasts for November–December, using the trend projection with regression method. Looking at the accuracy of its forecasts over the history file, as well as the other statistics provided, how confident are you in these forecasts for November–December? Month Sales Month Sales January Februray March April May June 890,000 800,000 825,000 840,000 730,000 780,000 July August September October November December 710,000 730,000 680,000 670,000
The demand for Krispee Crunchies, a favorite breakfast cereal of people born in the 1940s, is experiencing a decline. The company wants to monitor demand for this product closely as it nears the end of its life cycle. The following table shows the actual sales history for January–October. Generateforecasts for November–December, using the trend projection with regression method. Looking at the accuracy of its forecasts over the history file, as well as the other statistics provided, how confident are you in these forecasts for November–December?
The following equation summarizes the trend portion of quarterly sales of condominiums over a long cycle. Sales also exhibit seasonal variations. Ft = 51 − 4.1t + 3.1t 2 whereFt = Unit sales t = 0 at the first quarter of last year  Quarter Relative 1 0.95 2 0.95 3 0.45 4 1.65     Click here for the Excel Data File   Using the information given, prepare a forecast of sales for each quarter of next year (not this year), and the first quarter of the year following that. (Round intermediate calculations and final answers to 2 decimal places.)

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Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)

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