The economy will either be in a state of prosperity or recession and the probability of either is uncertain. A company wishes to invest in one of three ventures. A 5 Prosperity -2 B 2 1 C 3 -1 Recession
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- Originally attributed to A Tribe Called Quest, American rapper MeekMill has stated “Scared money don’t make no money”. How does this reflectthe idea of the risk premium in investment?Your company is scheduled to receive 2, 000, 000 euros in 1 year. The euro is currently trading at 1.0813, you can borrow in the US for 1 year at 5.5% or invest in the US at 5.2%. You can borrow in euros at 3.6% or invest in euros at 3.3%. If you use a money market hedge on the receivable, how much will you get in US dollars?One year ago, you wrote a put option with strike price $30 and one year to expiration. Option premium was $12. Ignore the interest rate. Today is the expiration day, and you still have an open short position in the put. The underlying stock is trading at $42. Your profit is a. Zero. You just broke even. b. $18 c. $42 d. $12
- Sometimes it is possible for a company to influencethe uncertain outcomes in a favorable direction.Suppose Acme could, by an early marketing blitz,change the probabilities of “great,” “fair,” and “awful”from their current values to 0.75, 0.15, and 0.10. Interms of EMV, how much would the company bewilling to pay for such a blitz?1. What is the interpretation of the coefficient of determination for the investor? If the coefficient of correlation for two securities is 0,7, what is the coefficient of determination? 2. What can you about probabality?Jamie McCullough, owner of Leisure World, Inc., is worried about his business’ future. He has tried various strategies for two years now, and he’s still barely breaking even. Two years ago, Jamie McCullough bought the inventory, supplies, equipment, and business of Leisure World, located on the edge of Minneapolis, Minnesota. The business is in an older building along a major highway leading out of town, several miles from any body of water. The previous owner had sales of about $500,000 a year but was just breaking even. For this reason—plus the desire to retire to Arizona—the owner sold to Jamie for roughly the value of the inventory. Leisure World had been selling two well-known brands of small pleasure boats, a leading outboard motor, two brands of snowmobiles and jet-skis, and a line of trailer and pickup-truck campers. The total inventory was valued at $250,000—and Jamie used all of his own savings and borrowed some from two friends to buy the inventory and the business. At the…
- The Parable of the Green A new housing development has lots of packed earth and weeds but no grass. Two neighbors make a wager on who will be the first to have a lush lawn. Mr. F knows that a lawn will not grow without grass seed, so he immediately buys the most expensive seed he can find because everyone knows that quality improves with price. Besides, he’ll recover the cost of the seed through his wager. Next, he stands knee-deep in his weeds and tosses the seed around his yard. Confident that he has a head start on his neighbor, who is not making much visible progress, he begins his next project. Ms. Slo Steady, having grown up in the country, proceeds to clear the lot, till the soil, and even alter the slope of the terrain to provide better drainage. She checks the soil’s pH, applies weed killer and fertilizer, and then distributes the grass seed evenly with a spreader. She applies a mulch cover and waters the lawn appropriately. She finishes several days after her neighbor, who…4. Using the following table, calculate the Expected Monetary Value (EMV), Expected Opportunity Loss (EOL), and Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI). Use the .50 for the probability of a Good Economy and .50 for the probability of a Poor Economy. Show your selections (highlight your best alternative). Show the work on an excel file. STATE OF NATURE DECISION ALTERNATIVE GOOD ECONOMY POOR ECONOMY Sotck market 80,000 -20,000 Bonds 30,000 20,000 CDs 23,000 23,000Assuming you are an entrepreneur, the first 4 years of operations went smooth and income is flowing, but on the year five of your business you realized, cash flowing in the business aren’t enough already to meet the business short term obligations, what risk you did not manage properly. Choose from the following Economical Risk Competitive Risk Financial Risk Technological Risk
- You would like to buy a house that is currently on the market at $85,000, but youcannot afford it right now. However, you think that you would be able to buy it after 4years. If the expected inflation rate as applied to the price of this house is 5% per year,what is its expected price after four years?Below are four categories of risk and ways that a company is currently handling the risks. Which risk handling options are being used? More than one answer may apply. a. A company is handling its high R&D financial risk by taking on partners and hiring subcontractors. The partners/subcontractors are expected to invest some of their own funds in the R&D effort in exchange for sole-source, long-term production contracts if the product undergoes successful commercialization. b. A company has decided to handle its marketing risks by offering a family of products to its customer base. Different features exist for each product offered. c. A company has product lines with a life expectancy of ten years or more. The company is handling its technical risks by performing extensive testing on new components and performing parallel technical development efforts for downstream enhancements. d. A company has large manufacturing costs for its high-tech products. The company will not…Often, more than one kind of shock hits the economy at once. When this happens, the different shocks could push inflation (or real growth) in different directions in the short run, leaving the final short-run result ambiguous. What is most likely to happen to inflation and real output growth in the following cases: Will they rise or fall, or can't you tell with the information given? A) A nation's scientists invent many new internet search tools, raising current productivity and making investors optimistic about future investments as well. B) A government raises taxes and its economy experiences a year of excellent weather for growing crops. C) Oil prices skyrocket and the central bank slows the rate of money growth.