The editor of a textbook published company is trying to decide whether to publish a proposed business statistics textbook. Information on previous textbooks published indicates that 10% are huge successes, 20% are modest successes, 40% break-even, and 30% are losers. However, before a publishing decision is made, the book will be reviewed. In the past, 99% of the huge successes received favourable reviews, 70% of the moderate successes received favourable reviews, 40% of the break-even books received favourable reviews, and 20% of the losers received favourable reviews. a. If the proposed textbook received a favourable reviews, how should the editor revise the probabilities of the various outcomes to take this information into account? b. what proportion of textbooks receive favourable reviews?
The editor of a textbook published company is trying to decide whether to publish a proposed business statistics textbook. Information on previous textbooks published indicates that 10% are huge successes, 20% are modest successes, 40% break-even, and 30% are losers. However, before a publishing decision is made, the book will be reviewed. In the past, 99% of the huge successes received favourable reviews, 70% of the moderate successes received favourable reviews, 40% of the break-even books received favourable reviews, and 20% of the losers received favourable reviews. a. If the proposed textbook received a favourable reviews, how should the editor revise the probabilities of the various outcomes to take this information into account? b. what proportion of textbooks receive favourable reviews?
Solution Summary: The author determines the revised probability of the various outcomes from the provided information, if the proposed book receives a favorable review.
The editor of a textbook published company is trying to decide whether to publish a proposed business statistics textbook. Information on previous textbooks published indicates that 10% are huge successes, 20% are modest successes, 40% break-even, and 30% are losers. However, before a publishing decision is made, the book will be reviewed. In the past, 99% of the huge successes received favourable reviews, 70% of the moderate successes received favourable reviews, 40% of the break-even books received favourable reviews, and 20% of the losers received favourable reviews.
a. If the proposed textbook received a favourable reviews, how should the editor revise the probabilities of the various outcomes to take this information into account?
b. what proportion of textbooks receive favourable reviews?
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