Cardiovascular Disease Mayo Clinic investigators have tracked coronary-heart-disease (CHD) mortality in Olmstead County, Minnesota, for the past 20 years[17]. Mayo Clinic physicians provided virtually all medical care to Olmstead County residents. Deaths from CHD were subdivided into those that occurred in hospital and those that occurred out of hospital. In-hospital death rates are thought to be influenced mainly by advances in medical care. Out-of-hospital death rates are thought to be influenced mainly by changes in risk-factor levels over time. For men, out-of-hospital CHD death rates were 280 cases per 100,000 men per year and in-hospital CHD death rates were 120 cases per 100,000 men per year in 1998. For women, out-of-hospital CHD death rates were 100 cases per 100,000 women per year; in-hospital CHD death rates were 40 cases per 100,000 women per year in 1998. The investigators reported that for both men and women, in hospital CHD death rates were declining at a rate of 5.3% per year, whereas out-of-hospital CHD death rates were declining by 1.8% per year. What is the expected overall CHD mortality rate in Olmstead County in 2015 if these trends continue?
Cardiovascular Disease Mayo Clinic investigators have tracked coronary-heart-disease (CHD) mortality in Olmstead County, Minnesota, for the past 20 years[17]. Mayo Clinic physicians provided virtually all medical care to Olmstead County residents. Deaths from CHD were subdivided into those that occurred in hospital and those that occurred out of hospital. In-hospital death rates are thought to be influenced mainly by advances in medical care. Out-of-hospital death rates are thought to be influenced mainly by changes in risk-factor levels over time. For men, out-of-hospital CHD death rates were 280 cases per 100,000 men per year and in-hospital CHD death rates were 120 cases per 100,000 men per year in 1998. For women, out-of-hospital CHD death rates were 100 cases per 100,000 women per year; in-hospital CHD death rates were 40 cases per 100,000 women per year in 1998. The investigators reported that for both men and women, in hospital CHD death rates were declining at a rate of 5.3% per year, whereas out-of-hospital CHD death rates were declining by 1.8% per year. What is the expected overall CHD mortality rate in Olmstead County in 2015 if these trends continue?
Solution Summary: The author calculates the expected overall CHD mortality rate in Olmstead County in 2015 if trends continue.
Mayo Clinic investigators have tracked coronary-heart-disease (CHD) mortality in Olmstead County, Minnesota, for the past 20 years[17]. Mayo Clinic physicians provided virtually all medical care to Olmstead County residents. Deaths from CHD were subdivided into those that occurred in hospital and those that occurred out of hospital. In-hospital death rates are thought to be influenced mainly by advances in medical care. Out-of-hospital death rates are thought to be influenced mainly by changes in risk-factor levels over time. For men, out-of-hospital CHD death rates were 280 cases per 100,000 men per year and in-hospital CHD death rates were 120 cases per 100,000 men per year in 1998. For women, out-of-hospital CHD death rates were 100 cases per 100,000 women per year; in-hospital CHD death rates were 40 cases per 100,000 women per year in 1998.
The investigators reported that for both men and women, in hospital CHD death rates were declining at a rate of 5.3% per year, whereas out-of-hospital CHD death rates were declining by 1.8% per year.
What is the expected overall CHD mortality rate in Olmstead County in 2015 if these trends continue?
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