Suppose you initially catch 500 drones, tag them, and release them. At some point later you re-catch a new 500 drones, and find that only 300 of them are tagged. Assume drones were equally likely to be caught at all times. 1) What is the smallest number of drones that might be out there? i.e., what is the smallest possible number value N might have? 2) What was the probability of this occurring (these specific catch totals) as a function of N? 3) What number N maximizes the likelihood of these results?
Suppose you initially catch 500 drones, tag them, and release them. At some point later you re-catch a new 500 drones, and find that only 300 of them are tagged. Assume drones were equally likely to be caught at all times.
1) What is the smallest number of drones that might be out there? i.e., what is the smallest possible number value N might have?
2) What was the probability of this occurring (these specific catch totals) as a
3) What number N maximizes the likelihood of these results?
4) Re-do numbers 1, 2, and 3 in the more general setting, with N as the total number of drones, n1 as the number caught and tagged the first time, and n2 caught and tagged the second time.
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