Select the components or elements in the formulation of the following model.: Linear optimization model Select one or more: constraints places supliers demands nature decisions strategy customers variants variables probability of states of nature decision-maker cost function payoffs non negativity constraints criterion states of nature criteria preferences criteria matrix players route evaluations capacities irational player

II. + James Scott is considering the possibility of opening a small outfit shop on Sta. Maria District, a few blocks from St. Green Ville College. She has located on a mall that attracts students. To open a small shop, medium sized shop, or no shop at all are her options. The market can be good, average, or bad. The probabilities for these three possibilities are 30% for good market, 50% for an average market, and 20% for bad market. The profit or loss for the said market conditions are given in the table below; ALTERNATIVE Small Shop Medium Sized Shop No Shop GOOD 150,000 200,000 0 AVERAGE 50,000 70,000 0 a) Calculate the Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI) b) What do you recommend? BAD -80,000 -120,000 0

The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives and various levels of demand. ALTERNATIVE DEMAND LOW  MEDIUM HIGH Alternative 1 40 80 150 Alternative 2 80 120 130 Alternative 3 100 100 100 a. Which alternative should be chosen using the equally likely decision criterion? b. Set-up the opportunity loss table. c. Which alternative should be chosen using the minimax regret criterion?

Decision theory under conditions of risk and uncertainty lends itself to severalmathematical techniques. Examine the difference maximin decision criterion and minimax regret decision criterion.

An oil company must decide whether or not to drill an oil well in a particular area that they already own. The decision maker (DM) believes that the area could be dry, reasonably good or a bonanza. See data in the table which shows the gross revenues for the oil well that is found. Decision Drill $0 Abandon $0 Probability 0.3 Dry (D) Seismic Results No structure(N) Open(0) Closed (C) Drilling costs 40M. The company can take a series of seismic soundings (at a cost of 12M) to determine the underlying geological structure. The results will be either "no structure", "open structure or "closed structure". The reliability of the testing company is as follows that is, this reflects their historical performance. Reasonably good(G) $85 $0 0.3 Note that if the test result is "no structure" the company can sell the land to a developer for 50 m. otherwise (for the other results) it can abandon the drilling idea at no benefit to itself. Dry(d) 0.7 0.2 Bonanza(B) 0.1 $200 m SO 0.4 Conditional…

Decision Under Uncertainty The digital television service company TV-más is facing a significant problem of customer loss in recent months, in particular, customers of the Home plan, which consists of an annual subscription whose value is $200 and that allows you to watch more than 40 high definition television channels. The company has prepared a list of clients who have decided that once the subscription has ended, they will not contract the service again, since, among several reasons , they maintain that the company does not treat its clients well. Considering customer opinions, the company has thought of a plan so that customers who have decided not to renew can reverse their decision and subscribe to the service for one more year. The plan consists of giving a gift to customers who have decided not to renew in order to show concern for them. The gift consists of a set of kitchen pots, with the company logo, which costs the company $50. According to information from a pilot plan…

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Cool Beans is a locally owned coffeeshop that competes with two large coffee chains, PlanetEuro and Frothies. Alicia, the owner, is considering two different marketing promotions and thinks that CLV analysis will help her decide the best course of action. An average specialty coffee drink sells for $4.26 and has a margin of 83%. One promotion is providing loyalty cards to her regular customers that would give them one free specialty coffee drink after 10 regular purchases. Alicia estimates that this will increase the frequency of their purchases by 14%. Currently, her customers average buying 2 specialty drinks per week.   The second promotion is targeted at new customers. She would offer a free specialty drink to incoming college freshmen by providing a coupon with their orientation packages. Because of her location near the college, she expects that 310 students will come to Cool Beans for a free trial. Of those, she anticipates that 16% will become regular customers who will…

Define the goal of decision analysis and how different decision makers may approach risk in their terms of assessment utility.

Aaron is considering potential