ABC Company, a soft-drink vendor, has created a table of costs for four stocking decisionsfor two different states of nature:AlternativesLarge StockMedium StockSmall StockStates of NatureLow Demand$4080$3060$5100High Demand$6800$5440$9520For the Mini-Max decision making criterion, the best decision is Click to select

Effective decision-making results from collecting valid and accurate information from the market…

Answered: ABC Company, a soft-drink vendor, has…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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Will the use of decision tree analysis guarantee the best decision for a i rm? Why or why not? If not, why bother using it?
Letz Products has two decisions to make, with the second decision dependent on the outcomeof the first. The company intends to build a new plant. Letz has the option of conducting itsown marketing research survey for which the results will either be positive or negative. Theinformation from this survey could help it decide whether to build a large plant, to build a smallplant, or not to build at all. Letz recognizes that although such a survey will not provide it withperfect information, it may be extremely helpful. Using the image explain to your client (Letz) what the above decision tree shows. You arerequired to show all working.
What information does a decision maker need in order to perform an expected-value analysis ofa problem? What options are available to the decision maker if the probabilities of the states ofnature are unknown? Can you think of a way you might use sensitivity analysis in such a case?
Is price an important evaluative criterion? What decision rule is applied to the evaluative criteria used? Is price likely to serve as a surrogate indicator of quality?
Letz Products has two decisions to make, with the second decision dependent on the outcome of the first. The company intends to build a new plant. Letz has the option of conducting its own marketing research survey for which the results will either be positive or negative. The information from this survey could help it decide whether to build a large plant, to build a small plant, or not to build at all. Letz recognizes that although such a survey will not provide it with perfect information, it may be extremely helpful. Using figure 1 – explain to your client (Letz) what the above decision tree shows. You are required to show all working.
Explain how decision trees might be used in several of the OM decisions.
What is the final value of the decision tree?
7. Consider the following decision table, which Joe Blackburn has developed for Vanderbilt Enterprises: States of Nature Decision Alternatives Probability: 0.35 0.25 0.40 Low Medium High A $35 $80 $65 B $85 $50 $70 C $55 $70 $75 D $70 $85 $65 E $70 $75 $85 Part 2 The alternative that provides Blackburn the greatest expected monetary value (EMV LOADING... ) is ▼ D E A B C The EMV for this decision is $_______(enter your answer as a whole number).
Write the three-point estimates for the six key input variables?
apply appropriate techniques to solve a range of models of mathematical and real-world problems analyse the effects of changing model parameters on LP model predictions * select and develop appropriate mathematical models for decision making problems (a) A stationary supplies company wishes to produce deluxe and budget ink pens. Deluxe ink pens require eight units of material and 9 minutes to produce each pen. Budget ink pens require six units of material and 4 minutes to produce each pen. The company has 38.25 hours of labour and 1950 units of material available per week. Profit for deluxe ink pens is $2.40 per pen and for budget ink pens is $1.75 per pen. The company also wants the number of deluxe ink pens to be produced to be at least 6 times the number of budget ink pens produced. Formulate a Linear Programming problem to determine the company's best production plan to maximise profit (do not solve). (b) Solve the following Linear Programming problem using the Simplex Method. Full…
Develop a spreadsheet for the question. The vice president of finance has looked at your ooriginal scoring model and feels that tax considerations should be included in teh model with a weight of 15. In addition, the VP has scored the methods on tax considerations as follows: method A recieved a score of 3, method B recieved a score of 2, and Method C recieved a score of 1. How would this additional information affect your recommendation?
The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): Decision State of Nature Alternative Low Demand (S1) Medium Demand (S2) High Demand )S3) Manufacture, d(1) -20 40 100 Purchase, d(2) 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P s1= 0.35, P s2= 0.35, and P s3= 0.30 Use expected value to recommend a decision.

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