Safe Brave 2, Copy Copy Innovate Innovate 5/2 5/12 10/10 10/6 Assume player 2 believes player 1 plays "safe" with probability p and "brave" with probability 1-p. What it the highest p so that a risk-neutral player 2 to should play "copy"? Please give an answer with two decimal places. 2.
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- In the final round of a TV game show, contestantshave a chance to increase their current winnings of$1 million to $2 million. If they are wrong, theirprize is decreased to $500,000. A contestant thinkshis guess will be right 50% of the time. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correctguess that would make playing profitable?In a final round of a MegaMillion TV show, a contestant has won $1 millionand has a chance of doubling the reward. If he loses his winnings drop to$500,000. The contestant thinks his chances of winning are 50%. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correct guess that will make his betprofitable? Show workA salesperson is trying to sell cars. The number of cars that she will sell depends on her effort "e" and her luck. Given her effort e, with probability 4e she is able to sell four cars, and with probability (1 - 4e) she is able to sell only one car. Her personal cost of effort is 100e². The dealership pays her a bonus b for each car sold. The salesperson is risk-neutral, and wants to maximize her expected utility, which is her expected income minus her effort cost. a) Given the bonus b, the salesperson's best response function is b) Suppose the dealership pays b = 2. Then the expected number of cars sold will be E(Q)=
- Player 1 L 20, 12 4,8 10, 2 6,6 R 0, 14 8,4 2,18 6,6 ). If 1 believes that 2 plays a mixed strategy (0.25, 0.75), i.e. with 25% probability of L and 75% probability of R, which of 1's strategies has the highest expected payoff? N E S W N E S W Player 2 2. If 2 actually plays a mixed strategy (0.25, 0.75), i.e. with 25% probability of L and 75% probability of R, which of 1's strategies would give 2 the highest expected payoff? N E S WThe injured football player Bad news everyone! There is 1 second left in the game, and Tom Brady has injured himself. The matrices below depict the relative probabilities of winning givenan offensive and a defensive play call. (The row player is the New England Patriots and the column player is the opponent.) How much has the all star's home team probability of winning decreased due to the injury? Pass uny Patriots D Pass .4, .6 D Run .9,.1 .8,.2 .5,.5 Pass Run Opponent D Pass D Run .06, .94 .32, .68 .8,.2 .5,.5At races, your horse, White Rum, has a probability of 1/20 of coming 1st, 1/10 of coming 2nd and a probability of 1⁄4 in coming 3rd. First place pays $5,000 to the winner, second place $4,000 and third place $1,350.Hence, is it worth entering the race if it costs $1050? Your company plans to invest in a particular project. There is a 40% chance you will lose $3,000, a 45% chance you will break even, and a 15% chance you will make $5,500. Based solely on this information, what should you do? On 1st Jan 2006, a business had inventory of $19,000. During the month, sales totalled $32,500 and purchases $24,000. On 31st Jan 2006 a fire destroyed some of the inventory. The undamaged goods in inventory were valued at $11,000. The business operates with a standard gross profit margin of 30%. Based on this information, what is the cost of the inventory destroyed in the fire?
- Deborah is at the casino and is considering playing Roulette. In Roulette, a ball drops into one of 36 slots on a spinning wheel. 17 of the slots are red, 17 are black, and 2 are green. Each slot is equally likely and occurs with probability 1/36. Deborah bets $1.00 on black. If the ball drops into a black slot she receives $2.00 and if it drops into a red or green slot, she receives nothing. The expected value of Deborah's bet (after subtracting the $1.00 she bet) is $ Given that Deborah makes this bet, she must beDeborah is at the casino and is considering playing Roulette. In Roulette, a ball drops into one of 36 slots on a spinning wheel. 17 of the slots are red, 17 are black, and 2 are green. Each slot is equally likely and occurs with probability 1/36. Deborah bets $1.00 on black. If the ball drops into a black slot she receives $2.00 and if it drops into a red or green slot, she receives nothing. a) The expected value of Deborah’s bet (after subtracting the $1.00 she bet) is $________________ b) Given that Deborah makes this bet, is she risk adverse, risk neutral, or risk loving?(Fill in the 4 blanks.) A monthly pass for the Stockholm subway costs $100, and fare dodgers who are caught face a fine of about $160. Stockholm transport has increased the number of ticket checks conducted, and the probability of being caught while riding the subway without paying is now 1%. Liam rides the subway 50 times a month, so that each month the probability that he is caught equals 50 x 1% = !3! 50% and he expects to pay 50 (0.01 x $160) = $80 in fines each month he rides the subway without buying the monthly pass. If Liam does not purchase a monthly pass, his expected monthly savings are $ (accepted format is dollars and cents xXx.xx). Liam's utility of saving $S equals VS , so that if he does not purchase a monthly pass, his expected utility equals (round to 2 decimals: xxx.xx). Liam's certainty equivalent is savings equal to $52.42, and thus Liam's (do not capitalize your answer and make sure to spell correctly) is $7.58. Liam can purchase full insurance from Planka.nu,…
- A lottery has a grand prize of $1,000,000, 2 runner-up prizes of $100,000 each, 6 third-place prizes of $10,000 each, and 19 consolation prizes of $1,000 each. If a 4 million tickets are sold for $1 each, and the probability of any ticket winning is the same as that of any other winning, find the expected return on a $1 ticket. (Round your answer to 2 decimal places.2.4 The opening 2018 World Cup odds against being the winning team specified by espn.com were 9/2 for Germany, 5/1 for Brazil, 11/2 for France, 20/1 for England, and 7/1 for Spain. Find the corresponding prior probabilities of winning for these five teams.David Barnes and his fiancée Valerie Shah are visiting Hawaii. At the Hawaiian Cultural Center in Honolulu, they are told that 2 out of a group of 8 people will be randomly picked for a free lesson of a Tahitian dance a. What is the probability that both David and Valerie get picked for the Tahitian dance lesson? (round 4 decimal places) b. What is the probability that Valerie gets picked before David for the Tahitian dance lesson? (round 4 decimal places)
