
ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Question
In the final round of a TV game show, contestants have a chance to increase their current winnings of$1 million to $2 million. If they are wrong, their prize is decreased to $500,000. A contestant thinks his guess will be right 50% of the time. Should he play? What is the lowest probability of a correct guess that would make playing profitable?
Expert Solution

This question has been solved!
Explore an expertly crafted, step-by-step solution for a thorough understanding of key concepts.
This is a popular solution
Trending nowThis is a popular solution!
Step by stepSolved in 3 steps with 1 images

Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, economics and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- Donna just paid $800 for a new iPhone. Apple offers a two year extended warranty for $200 and Donna is considering purchasing it. She has utility given by U(X)=√X. Without the extended warranty, the iPhone becomes worthless if it breaks. What is the minimum probability, p, that the iPhone breaks in the next two years that will cause Donna to prefer to purchase the extended warranty? p= ✓the warranty. If the probability that her phone breaks is p=0.25, Donna will prefer toarrow_forwardAnna is risk averse and has a utility function of the form u(w) pocket she has €9 and a lottery ticket worth €40 with a probability of 50% and nothing otherwise. She can sell this lottery ticket to Ben who is risk neutral and has €30 in his pocket. Find the range of prices that would make such a transaction possiblearrow_forwardSuppose that the point spread for a particular sporting event is 10 points and that with this spread you are convinced you would have a 0.60 probability of winning a bet on your team. However, the local bookie will accept only a $1000 bet. Assuming that such bets are legal, would you bet on your team? (Disregard any commission charged by the bookie.) Remember that you must pay losses out of your own pocket. Your payoff table is as follows: STATE OF NATURE DECISION ALTERNATIVES YOU WIN YOU LOSE BET $1000 -$1000 DON’T BET $0 $0 What decision does the expected value approach recommend? What is your indifference probability for the $0 payoff? (Although this choice isn't easy, be as realistic as possible. It is required for an analysis that reflects your attitude toward risk.) What decision would you make based on the expected utility approach? In this case are you a risk taker or a risk avoider? Would other individuals assess the same…arrow_forward
- Consider the St. Petersburg Paradox problem first discussed by Daniel Bernoulli in 1738. The game consists of tossing a coin. The player gets a payoff of 2^n where n is the number of times the coin is tossed to get the first head. So, if the sequence of tosses yields TTTH, you get a payoff of 2^4 this payoff occurs with probability (1/2^4). Compute the expected value of playing this game. Next, assume that utility U is a function of wealth X given by U = X.5 and that X = $1,000,000. In this part of the question, assume that the game ends if the first head has not occurred after 40 tosses of the coin. In that case, the payoff is 240 and the game is over. What is the expected payout of this game? Finally, what is the most you would pay to play the game if you require that your expected utility after playing the game must be equal to your utility before playing the game? Use the Goal Seek function (found in Data, What-If Analysis) in Excel.arrow_forwardWhat type of risk behavior does the person exhibit who is willing to bet $60 on a game where 20% of the time the bet returns $100, and 80% of the time returns $50? Is this a fair bet? Explain.arrow_forwardAa4arrow_forward
- In a large casino, the house wins on its blackjack tables with a probability of 50.9%. All bets at blackjack are 1 to 1, which means that if you win, you gain the amount you bet, and if you lose, you lose the amount you bet. a. If you bet $1 on each hand, what is the expected value to you of a single game? What is the house edge? b. If you played 150 games of blackjack in an evening, betting $1 on each hand, how much should you expect to win or lose? c. If you played 150 games of blackjack in an evening, betting $3 on each hand, how much should you expect to win or lose? d. If patrons bet $7,000,000 on blackjack in one evening, how much should the casino expect to earn? a. The expected value to you of a single game is $ (Type an integer or a decimal.)arrow_forwardClancy has $5,000. He plans to bet on a boxing match between Sullivan and Flanagan. He finds that he can buy coupons for $3 that will pay off $10 each if Sullivan wins. He also finds in another store some coupons that will pay off $10 if Flanagan wins. The Flanagan tickets cost $1 each. Clancy believes that the two fighters each have a probability of 1/2 of winning. Clancy is a risk averter who tries to maximize the expected value of the natural log of his wealth. In order to maximize his expected utility, he buys. Flanagan tickets. (Answer up to 2 decimal places.) Sullivan tickets and for the rest of the money, he buys Your Answer:arrow_forwardA wheel of fortune in a gambling casino has 54 different slots in which the wheel pointer can stop. Four of the 54 slots contain the number 9. For a 1 dollar bet on hitting a 9, if he or she succeeds, the gambler wins 10 dollars plus the return of the 1 dollar bet. What is the expected value of this gambling game? What is the meaning of the expected value result?arrow_forward
- To go from Location 1 to Location 2, you can either take a car or take transit. Your utility function is: U= -1Xminutes -5Xdollars +0.13Xcar (i.e. 0.13 is the car constant) Car= 15 minutes and $8 Transit= 40 minutes and $4 What is your probability of taking transit given the conditions above? What is your probability of taking transit if the number of buses on the route were doubled, meaning the headways are halved? Remember to include units.arrow_forwardAn insurance company estimates that drivers have a 5% chance of getting into an accident that will cost the driver $10,000. There are two types of drivers: the ones with $50,000 in the bank and the ones with only $5,000. In case of an accident those with $5,000 will declare bankruptcy and creditors can only recover $5,000. What is the fair pair of insurance and will those with $5,000 in the bank buy it? Why?arrow_forwardDon't use chatgptarrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
- Principles of Economics (12th Edition)EconomicsISBN:9780134078779Author:Karl E. Case, Ray C. Fair, Sharon E. OsterPublisher:PEARSONEngineering Economy (17th Edition)EconomicsISBN:9780134870069Author:William G. Sullivan, Elin M. Wicks, C. Patrick KoellingPublisher:PEARSON
- Principles of Economics (MindTap Course List)EconomicsISBN:9781305585126Author:N. Gregory MankiwPublisher:Cengage LearningManagerial Economics: A Problem Solving ApproachEconomicsISBN:9781337106665Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike ShorPublisher:Cengage LearningManagerial Economics & Business Strategy (Mcgraw-...EconomicsISBN:9781259290619Author:Michael Baye, Jeff PrincePublisher:McGraw-Hill Education


Principles of Economics (12th Edition)
Economics
ISBN:9780134078779
Author:Karl E. Case, Ray C. Fair, Sharon E. Oster
Publisher:PEARSON

Engineering Economy (17th Edition)
Economics
ISBN:9780134870069
Author:William G. Sullivan, Elin M. Wicks, C. Patrick Koelling
Publisher:PEARSON

Principles of Economics (MindTap Course List)
Economics
ISBN:9781305585126
Author:N. Gregory Mankiw
Publisher:Cengage Learning

Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
Economics
ISBN:9781337106665
Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:Cengage Learning

Managerial Economics & Business Strategy (Mcgraw-...
Economics
ISBN:9781259290619
Author:Michael Baye, Jeff Prince
Publisher:McGraw-Hill Education