Hugo has a concave utility function of U(W)=√W. His only asset is shares in an Internet start-up company. Tomorrow he will learn the stock's value. He believes that it is worth $225 with probability 80% and $256 with probability 20%. What is his expected utty? What risk premium would he pay to avoid bearing this risk? The stock's expected utility (EU) is EU = (Enter a numeric response using a real number rounded to two decimal places.)
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- Buying and selling prices for risky investments obviously are related to certain equivalents. This problem, however, shows that the prices depend on exactly what is owned in the first place. Suppose that your utility for wealth (A) can be represented by the utility function u(A) = In [(A)] You currently have R1000 in cash. A business deal of interest to you yields a reward of R100 with probability 0,5 and RO with probability 0,5. 2.1 If you own this business deal in addition to the R1000, what is the smallest amount for which you would sell the deal? 2.2 Suppose you do not own the deal. Formulate an appropriate equation and solve with algebra to find the largest amount you would be willing to pay for the deal. 2.3 Explain why the amounts in 2.1 and 2.2 are slightly different.You are considering a $500,000 investment in the fast-food industry and have narrowed your choice to either a McDonald's or a Penn Station East Coast Subs franchise. McDonald's indicates that, based on the location where you are proposing to open a new restaurant, there is a 25 percent probability that aggregate 10-year profits (net of the initial investment) will be $16 million, a 50 percent probability that profits will be $8 million, and a 25 percent probability that profits will be -$1.6 million. The aggregate 10-year profit projections (net of the initial investment) for a Penn Station East Coast Subs franchise is $48 million with a 2.5 percent probability, $8 million with a 95 percent probability, and -$48 million with a 2.5 percent probability. Considering both the risk and expected profitability of these two investment opportunities, which is the better investment? Explain carefully.Lukas is a risk-averse farmer. He grows barley on his 1000 acre farm. In a typical year his farm yields 100 bushels of barley per acre. However, in a wet season, the farm only yields 40 bushels per acre. The probability of a typical season is 0.8 and of a wet season is 0.2. Regardless of the productivity of his farm, he expects to earn $3 per bushel (net of all costs of farming). Assume that Lukas has no other income. Write an expression for Lukas's expected utility.
- Questions 18 through 20 refer to the following information: Shawn's consumption is subject to risk. With probability 0.75 he will enjoy 10000 in consumption, but with probability 0.25 he will have only 3600. His utility function for consumption is given by v(c) = vc. Question 18 What is the expected value of Shawn's consumption? Question 19 What is his expected utility?Mr Phiri has K10,000 in his account. He is considering investing in a project which has 70 % probability of earning a profit of K10,000 and a 30% probability of incurring a loss of K10,000. His utility at the moment is 20 utiles with the current K10,000. With K20, 000 his utility would be 25 utiles and with K0 his utility would be zero.a) What is the expected profit of the project? b) What is the expected marginal utility of the project? Is Mr Phiri likely to invest in the project? Mr Sinkala also has K10,000 from which he derives 20 utiles. However, Mr Phiri derives 15 utiles from the profit of K10,000.c) What is the expected marginal utility for Mr Sinkala? d) How can you describe Mr Phiri and Mr Sinkala in terms of their attitude towards risk?Mr Phiri has K10,000 in his account. He is considering investing in a project which has 70 % probability of earning a profit of K10,000 and a 30% probability of incurring a loss of K10,000. His utility at the moment is 20 utiles with the current K10,000. With K20, 000 his utility would be 25 utiles and with K0 his utility would be zero. a) What is the expected profit of the project? b) What is the expected marginal utility of the project? Is Mr Phiri likely to invest in the project? Mr Sinkala also has K10,000 from which he derives 20 utiles. However, Mr Phiri derives 15 utiles from the profit of K10,000. c) What is the expected marginal utility for Mr Sinkala? d) How can you describe Mr Phiri and Mr Sinkala in terms of their attitude towards risk?
- Jen is choosing a portfolio. For this choice, she is an expected utility maximizer. We fix the following preference representation for Jen: if she earns w dollars with probability 1, her utility is √w. There are two stocks she can buy, A or B. She will choose one. Stock A will be worth 1000 with probability ¹/2, and it will be worth 2000 with probability 1/2. Stock B will be worth 250 with probability 2/3 and 5000 with probability 1/3. Which does she choose?Hello can any one help with this Economics question: A contractor spends Dollar 3,000 to prepare for a bid on a construction project which, after deducting manufacturing expenses and the cost of bidding, will yield a profit of dollar 25,000 if the bid is won. If the chance of winning the bid is ten per cent, compute his expected profit and state the likely decision on whether to bid or not to bid?Suppose you visit with a financial adviser, and you are considering investing some of your wealth in one of three investment portfolios stocks, bonds, or commodities. Your financial adviser provides you with the following table, which gives the probabilities of possible returns from each investment To maximize your expected return, you should choose: Stocks Bonds Probability Return Probability Return 0.15 20% 0.15 16.7% 06 10% T 04 7.5% 0.25 8% 0.45 3.3% OA bonds OB stocks OC. commodities OD. All of the portfolios have the same expected return. If you are risk-averse and had to choose between the stock or the bond investments, you would choose OA the stock portfolio because there is less uncertainty over the outcome OB. the bond portfolio because there is less uncertainty over the outcome. OC. the stock portfolio because of greater expected return. OD. the bond portfolio because of greater expected return. Commodities Probability Return 02 20% 0.2 15% 0.2 8% 02 02 5% 0%
- Y5 Alfred is a risk-averse person with $100 in monetary wealth and owns a house worth $300, for total wealth of $400. The probability that his house is destroyed by fire (equivalent to a loss of $300) is pne = 0.5. If he exerts an effort level e = 0.3 to keep his house safe, the probability falls to pe = 0.2. His utility function is: U = w0.5 – e where e is effort level exerted (zero in the case of no effort and 0.3 in the case of effort).a. In the absence of insurance, does Alfred exert effort to lower the probability of fire?HINT: Calculate and compare the expected utility i) with effort, and ii) without effort. If effort is exerted, then the effort cost is paid regardless of whether or not a fire occurs.b. Alfred is considering buying fire insurance. The insurance agent explains that a home owner’s insurance policy would require paying a premium α and would repay the value of the house in the event of fire, minus a deductible “D”. [A deductible is an amount of money that the…Adam is considering what skills to study in online school. Her utility function is based on the income she earns, and is defined by U(I) = I0.8. If she learns the skill of SPSS, she will earn $145,000 per year with probability 1. If she learns the skill of Tableau, she will earn $300,000 per year with probability 0.6 (assuming that she gets the certificate) and $30,000 with probability 0.4 (if she learns without earning a certificate and she has to find a waiter job). a. Is she risk averse, risk neutral, or risk loving? Explain.b. Write out the equation for her expected utility for each skill. c.Which skill will she learn? Show your work. d.Suppose someone offers her insurance for the possibility that she does not get a Tableau certificate. This insurance will provide her an amount of income in addition to the waiter job wages that makes her indifferent between learning SPSS and Tableau. What is this amount, and what is the cost of the insurance? (note: many possible answers)An aggressive investment in Industry 4.0 next-generation technology has the potential to save your company $7M if it is very successful, or $3M if it is moderately successful, but it will cost $2M if it fails. The relative risk for the project is $1.25M. The company has a risk tolerance of $1 million and has assigned a utility value of .777 based on an exponential utility function for this investment. What is the value of a safe investment that the company would just as soon choose rather than investing in the IT project? A. $2M B. $1.5M C. 52.75 D. $1.25M