Bruno has a capital investment project that could start immediately. The project will require a machine costing $2.4 million. The total discounted value now of the cash inflows from the project will be either $2.6 million or $1.9 million with equal probability. The risk-free rate is 3%. Instead of starting immediately, the project could be delayed until one year from now to gain more market information. Its total discounted cash inflows at that time will be known as either $2.6 million or $1.9 million, with certainty. a) What is the present value of the option to delay?  b) The supplier of the machine has offered to deliver it (if required) in one year's time at a price of only $2 million if Bruno pays a non-refundable deposit now. What is the maximum the firm should pay as a deposit now? What type of real option does this represent for Bruno? Identify the specific components of the option contract.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
icon
Related questions
Question

Bruno has a capital investment project that could start immediately. The project will require a machine costing $2.4 million. The total discounted value now of the cash inflows from the project will be either $2.6 million or $1.9 million with equal probability. The risk-free rate is 3%. Instead of starting immediately, the project could be delayed until one year from now to gain more market information. Its total discounted cash inflows at that time will be known as either $2.6 million or $1.9 million, with certainty.

a) What is the present value of the option to delay? 

b) The supplier of the machine has offered to deliver it (if required) in one year's time at a price of only $2 million if Bruno pays a non-refundable deposit now. What is the maximum the firm should pay as a deposit now? What type of real option does this represent for Bruno? Identify the specific components of the option contract.

Expert Solution
steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps

Blurred answer
Similar questions
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management Science
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781337406659
Author:
WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:
Cengage,
Operations Management
Operations Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259667473
Author:
William J Stevenson
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Operations and Supply Chain Management (Mcgraw-hi…
Operations and Supply Chain Management (Mcgraw-hi…
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259666100
Author:
F. Robert Jacobs, Richard B Chase
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Business in Action
Business in Action
Operations Management
ISBN:
9780135198100
Author:
BOVEE
Publisher:
PEARSON CO
Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781285869681
Author:
Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Production and Operations Analysis, Seventh Editi…
Production and Operations Analysis, Seventh Editi…
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781478623069
Author:
Steven Nahmias, Tava Lennon Olsen
Publisher:
Waveland Press, Inc.