A manager has to decide whether to prepare a bid or not. It costs P5,000 to prepare the bid. If the bid is submitted, the probability that the contract will be awarded is 50%. If the company is awarded the contract, it may earn an income of P100,000 if it succeeds, or pay a fine of P8,000 if it fails. The probability of success is estimated to be 80%.  What is the expected value if the contract is awarded?

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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A manager has to decide whether to prepare a bid or not. It costs P5,000 to prepare the bid. If the bid is submitted, the probability that the contract will be awarded is 50%. If the company is awarded the contract, it may earn an income of P100,000 if it succeeds, or pay a fine of P8,000 if it fails. The probability of success is estimated to be 80%. 

What is the expected value if the contract is awarded?

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