ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Bartleby Related Questions Icon

Related questions

Question
5. Shift-in-charge Nazar Al Rushdy: Nazar is pessimistic about the market price. What is
your guidance for Nazar?
The decision to employ decision trees in crucial situations has been taken by Salem Al Harthi,
the plant manager. The table below presents data on demand for a duration of 6 hours along
with their respective probabilities. The first row of the table provides the probability of demand
for the initial three hours when a leak occurs, denoted in parentheses. Subsequently, the
following three rows indicate the probabilities of high, medium, and low demand for the
succeeding three hours. To illustrate, if the initial 3-hour market price was low, the probabilities
of high demand, medium demand, and low demand in the next three hours are 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5,
respectively.
Market price High
Market price Medium
Initial 3-hrs (0.2)
Initial 3-hrs (0.5)
Market price Low
Initial 3-hrs (0.3)
High demand (next (0.5)
(0.4)
(0.2)
3 hrs)
Medium
demand (0.3)
(0.2)
(0.3)
(next 3 hours)
Low demand (next (0.2)
(0.4)
(0.5)
3 hours)
Discussion Question
6. Make a decision tree and suggest what decision to make: repair HRSG immediately or
delay it for the next shift.
expand button
Transcribed Image Text:5. Shift-in-charge Nazar Al Rushdy: Nazar is pessimistic about the market price. What is your guidance for Nazar? The decision to employ decision trees in crucial situations has been taken by Salem Al Harthi, the plant manager. The table below presents data on demand for a duration of 6 hours along with their respective probabilities. The first row of the table provides the probability of demand for the initial three hours when a leak occurs, denoted in parentheses. Subsequently, the following three rows indicate the probabilities of high, medium, and low demand for the succeeding three hours. To illustrate, if the initial 3-hour market price was low, the probabilities of high demand, medium demand, and low demand in the next three hours are 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5, respectively. Market price High Market price Medium Initial 3-hrs (0.2) Initial 3-hrs (0.5) Market price Low Initial 3-hrs (0.3) High demand (next (0.5) (0.4) (0.2) 3 hrs) Medium demand (0.3) (0.2) (0.3) (next 3 hours) Low demand (next (0.2) (0.4) (0.5) 3 hours) Discussion Question 6. Make a decision tree and suggest what decision to make: repair HRSG immediately or delay it for the next shift.
SAVE
AI-Generated Solution
AI-generated content may present inaccurate or offensive content that does not represent bartleby’s views.
bartleby
Unlock instant AI solutions
Tap the button
to generate a solution
Click the button to generate
a solution
Knowledge Booster
Background pattern image
Similar questions
Recommended textbooks for you
Text book image
ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Economics
ISBN:9780190931919
Author:NEWNAN
Publisher:Oxford University Press
Text book image
Principles of Economics (12th Edition)
Economics
ISBN:9780134078779
Author:Karl E. Case, Ray C. Fair, Sharon E. Oster
Publisher:PEARSON
Text book image
Engineering Economy (17th Edition)
Economics
ISBN:9780134870069
Author:William G. Sullivan, Elin M. Wicks, C. Patrick Koelling
Publisher:PEARSON
Text book image
Principles of Economics (MindTap Course List)
Economics
ISBN:9781305585126
Author:N. Gregory Mankiw
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Text book image
Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
Economics
ISBN:9781337106665
Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Text book image
Managerial Economics & Business Strategy (Mcgraw-...
Economics
ISBN:9781259290619
Author:Michael Baye, Jeff Prince
Publisher:McGraw-Hill Education