ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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- Imagine you are an economist working for the Government of Econville. You are tasked with developing a model to predict the GDP of the country based on various factors such as interest rates, inflation, unemployment rate, and population growth. You collect quarterly data for the past 20 years and start building your model. After running your initial regression, you notice some peculiar patterns in the residuals: (1) residuals do not have identical variances across different levels of the independent variables; (2) two or more independent variables in a regression model are highly correlated with each other; (3) the correlation of a variable with its own past values. You suspect that your model might be suffering from 3 potential issues in the regression analysis that can affect reliability and validity. what are the implications of Heteroscedasticity if this potential issue in your model?arrow_forwardExplain carefully why running the regression above might suffer from endogeneity concerns: are their any unobservable variables that might confound the results? Should we be worried about reverse causality? What empirical methods could we use to address these concerns?arrow_forwardq9-arrow_forward
- Imagine you are an economist working for the Government of Econville. You are tasked with developing a model to predict the GDP of the country based on various factors such as interest rates, inflation, unemployment rate, and population growth. You collect quarterly data for the past 20 years and start building your model. After running your initial regression, you notice some peculiar patterns in the residuals: (1) residuals do not have identical variances across different levels of the independent variables; (2) two or more independent variables in a regression model are highly correlated with each other; (3) the correlation of a variable with its own past values. You suspect that your model might be suffering from 3 potential issues in the regression analysis that can affect reliability and validity. List 2 factors in your model that might be causing the Heteroscedasticity and give a reasonarrow_forwardImagine you are an economist working for the Government of Econville. You are tasked with developing a model to predict the GDP of the country based on various factors such as interest rates, inflation, unemployment rate, and population growth. You collect quarterly data for the past 20 years and start building your model. After running your initial regression, you notice some peculiar patterns in the residuals: (1) residuals do not have identical variances across different levels of the independent variables; (2) two or more independent variables in a regression model are highly correlated with each other; (3) the correlation of a variable with its own past values. You suspect that your model might be suffering from 3 potential issues in the regression analysis that can affect reliability and validity. Based on Addressing Heteroscedasticity list one test you would employ to test this potential issue?arrow_forward7. The Stata data set "college_gpa" has data on students' college GPAS, high school GPAS, ACT scores, lectures skipped during the academic year, and other characteristics. We wish to examine the predictors of college GPAS. You must submit your do-file (commands). a) Regress college GPA on high school GPA and write the estimated regression line. b) Interpret the intercept of your regression in a sentence. Does this coefficient make sense?n Explain c) Interpret the coefficient on high school GPA in a sentence. Does this coefficient make sense? Explain. reg colGPA hsGPA Source df MS Number of obs 141 %3D F(1, 139) 33.80 Model 5.58478164 1 5.58478164 Prob > F e.0000 Residual 22.9668501 139 .165229138 R-squared Adj R-squared 0.1956 %3D 0.1898 %3D Total 28.5516318 140 .203940227 Root MSE .40648 colGPA Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] hsGPA .6242948 .1073816 5.81 0.000 .4119822 .8366073 _cons 890254 3669263 2.43 0.017 647755arrow_forward
- Please answer all three sub-sections of this questionarrow_forward4- The manager of Collins Import Autos believes the number of cars sold in a day(Q) depends on two factors: (1) the number of hours the dealership is open (H) and (2) the number of salespersons working that day (S ). After collecting data for two months (53 days), the manager estimates the following log-linear model: Q = aHbSc ----- a. Explain how to transform this log-linear model into a linear form that can be estimated using multiple regression analysis. b. How do you interpret coefficients b and c? If the dealership increases the number of salespersons by 20 percent, what will be the percentage increase in daily sales? c. Test the overall model for statistical significance at the 5 percent significance level.arrow_forward1. Suppose output (Q) is related to labor (L) and capital (K) in the following nonlinear way: Q = albKc When taking log to this equation, it is transformed into a linear LnQ = Ina + b In(L) + c Ln (K) One hundred twenty-three observations are used to obtain the following regression results: Dependant Variable: Observations: Variable Intercept L K Q 123 5.5215 Parameter Standard Estimate error 0.650 R-square 0.350 0.7547 0.9750 0.2950 0.1450 F-ratio 184.56 t-ratio 5.66 2.20 2.41 p-value on F 0.00001 p-value 0.0001 0.0295 0.0173 a. Write the regression equation based on the output either in the transformed linear form or the original non-linear form.arrow_forward
- 5. Confounding variables and multiple regressions Suppose you are interested in studying the effect of square footage on the price of houses. You propose the following regression of housing prices on square footage: price - Bo + P sqft + u where price the price of the house. sqft = the square footage of the house residual Failing to account for the number of bathrooms in a house, which may influence housing prices and may be positively correlated with square footage, could lead to estimate of the effect . This issue of confounding variables would likely bias the estimate ofarrow_forwardnumber 1 pleasearrow_forward9. The (incomplete) table below shows the x and y values for three data points. It also shows the estimated coefficients, predicted y values and residuals for two potential regression lines (A and B). Fill in the missing values in the table below. obs 1 W23 2 3 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 y 60 20 0 1 X 3 2 8 Using the values you just calculated, plot the three data points and the two estimated regression equations in the graph below. Be sure to label everything clearly VA 40 50 3 aA A BA Regression A UA 4 -30 -15 5 10 YB 6 40 60 B Regression B A Вв 7 UB 25 -20 15 8 20 9 10arrow_forward
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