Mylab Operations Management With Pearson Etext -- Access Card -- For Operations Management: Sustainability And Supply Chain Management (13th Edition)
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Chapter F, Problem 2P
Summary Introduction

To determine: Number of breakdowns for 10 days and the proportion of having at least one breakdown.

Introduction: Simulation is the model that can be used in operations, which would imitate the real world process. Simulation uses random sampling for the generation of realistic variability.

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QUESTION 34 Suppose the actual sales and the forecasted, or smoothed sales, for the past 5 months have been Actual Smoothed 54.4   76.8 54.4 75.5 72.3 53.2 74.8 39.2 57.6 What is the Mean Absolute Error of the smoothed series? (please round your answer to 1 decimal place)
Question 9 Suppose that a random variable can take integer values between 6 and 15 inclusive (meaning that it can take on a value of 6 and 15 as well as any whole number between the them). What is the probability that the variable will take a value between 6 and 10 inclusive? Round your answer to two decimal points.
Question 8A food manufacturer has to decide how many batches of a product to produce next week. If one batch is produced, the profit will be $15,000. If two batches are produced, but the demand is only sufficient for one batch, then a loss of $5,000 will occur. If two batches are produced and the demand is equal to two batches, then a profit of $20,000 will occur. The food manufacturer estimates the probabilities of these two outcomes as being 0.4 and 0.6 respectively. A separate forecasting tool, estimates demand will equal two batches. In the past, this tool has correctly predicted demand in 60% of weeks, irrespective of what the level of demand turned out to be. To maximise his expected profit, the manufacturer should: Select one: a. produce 1 batch b. produce 2 batches c. be indifferent between producing 1 or 2 batches d. seek more information, as it is not possible to compute the expected profits from this information -- Correct Answer…
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