Statistics for Business and Economics (13th Edition)
13th Edition
ISBN: 9780134506593
Author: James T. McClave, P. George Benson, Terry Sincich
Publisher: PEARSON
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Videos
Textbook Question
Chapter 14.5, Problem 14.23LM
How does the choice of the smoothing constant w impact an exponentially smoothed forecast?
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solution
Students have asked these similar questions
a linear regression of age (x) on blood lead levels (y) for men who have worked in factories that manufacture car batteries is perfomred. The residual plots suggest there is still a pattern remaining, and you decide to add a quadratic term (age2) for age into the model. Which model is appropriate?
Suppose your dog weighed 3.1 pounds at birth and weighed 15 pounds one year later. Based on these two data points, find a linear function that describes how weight varies with age. Use this function to predict your dog's weight at 6 and 9 years of age. Comment on the validity of this model.
Use the data to develop a regression equationthat could be used to predict the quantity of pork sold during future periods. Discuss how you can tell whether heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, or multi-collinearity might be a problem.
Chapter 14 Solutions
Statistics for Business and Economics (13th Edition)
Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words how to construct a simple index.Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words how to calculate the following...Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words the difference between Laspeyres...Ch. 14.1 - The table below gives the prices for three...Ch. 14.1 - Refer to Exercise 14.4. The next table gives the...Ch. 14.1 - Annual median family income. The table below lists...Ch. 14.1 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. While overall...Ch. 14.1 - Quarterly single-family housing starts. The...Ch. 14.1 - Spot price of natural gas. The table shown in the...Ch. 14.1 - Employment in farm and nonfarm categories....
Ch. 14.1 - GOP personal consumption expenditures. The gross...Ch. 14.1 - GDP personal consumption expenditures (contd)....Ch. 14.1 - Weekly earnings for workers. The table in the next...Ch. 14.1 - Production and price of metals. The level or price...Ch. 14.2 - Describe the effect of selecting an exponential...Ch. 14.2 - A monthly time series is shown in the table to the...Ch. 14.2 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to the...Ch. 14.2 - Foreign fish production. Overfishing and pollution...Ch. 14.2 - Yearly price of gold. The price of gold is used by...Ch. 14.2 - Personal consumption in transportation. There has...Ch. 14.2 - OPEC crude oil imports. The data in the table...Ch. 14.2 - SP 500 Stock Index. Standard Poors 500 Composite...Ch. 14.5 - How does the choice of the smoothing constant w...Ch. 14.5 - Refer to Exercise 14.4 (p. 14-9). The table with...Ch. 14.5 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to...Ch. 14.5 - Quarterly single-family housing starts. Refer to...Ch. 14.5 - Consumer Price Index. The CPI measures the...Ch. 14.5 - OPEC crude oil imports. Refer to the annual OPEC...Ch. 14.5 - SP 500 Stock Index. Refer to the quarterly...Ch. 14.5 - SP 500 Stock Index (contd). Refer to Exercise...Ch. 14.5 - Monthly gold prices. The fluctuation of gold...Ch. 14.6 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to the...Ch. 14.6 - Annual U.S. craft beer production (contd). Refer...Ch. 14.6 - SP 500 Stock Index. Refer to your exponential...Ch. 14.6 - SP 500 Stock Index (contd). Refer to your Holt...Ch. 14.6 - Monthly gold prices. Refer to the monthly gold...Ch. 14.6 - US school enrollments. The next table reports...Ch. 14.8 - The annual price of a finished product (in cents...Ch. 14.8 - Retail sales in Quarters 14 over a 10-year period...Ch. 14.8 - What advantage do regression forecasts have over...Ch. 14.8 - Mortgage interest rates. The level at which...Ch. 14.8 - Price of natural gas. Refer to Exercise 14.9 (p....Ch. 14.8 - A gasoline tax on carbon emissions. In an effort...Ch. 14.8 - Predicting presidential elections. Researchers at...Ch. 14.8 - Life insurance policies in force. The table below...Ch. 14.8 - Graphing calculator sales. The next table presents...Ch. 14.8 - Prob. 14.47ACICh. 14.9 - Define autocorrelation. Explain why it is...Ch. 14.9 - For each case, indicate the decision regarding the...Ch. 14.9 - What do the following Durbin-Watson statistics...Ch. 14.9 - Company donations to charity. Refer to the Journal...Ch. 14.9 - Forecasting monthly car and truck sales. Forecasts...Ch. 14.9 - Predicting presidential elections. Refer to the...Ch. 14.9 - Mortgage interest rates. Refer to the data on...Ch. 14.9 - Price of natural gas. Refer to the annual data on...Ch. 14.9 - Life insurance policies in force. Refer to the...Ch. 14.9 - Modeling the deposit share of a retail bank....Ch. 14 - Insured Social Security workers. Workers insured...Ch. 14 - Insured Social Security workers (contd). Refer to...Ch. 14 - Retail prices of food items. In 1990, the average...Ch. 14 - Demand for emergency room services. With the...Ch. 14 - Mortgage interest rates. Refer to the annual...Ch. 14 - Price of Abbott Labs stock. The yearly closing...Ch. 14 - Price o f Abbott Labs stock (contd). Refer to...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.65ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.66ACICh. 14 - Quarterly GOP values (contd). Refer to Exercise...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.68ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.69ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.70ACICh. 14 - IBM stock prices. Refer to Example 14.1 (p. 14-5)...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.72ACI
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, statistics and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- Table 2 shows a recent graduate’s credit card balance each month after graduation. a. Use exponential regression to fit a model to these data. b. If spending continues at this rate, what will the graduate’s credit card debt be one year after graduating?arrow_forwardWhat is regression analysis? Describe the process of performing regression analysis on a graphing utility.arrow_forwardTable 6 shows the population, in thousands, of harbor seals in the Wadden Sea over the years 1997 to 2012. a. Let x represent time in years starting with x=0 for the year 1997. Let y represent the number of seals in thousands. Use logistic regression to fit a model to these data. b. Use the model to predict the seal population for the year 2020. c. To the nearest whole number, what is the limiting value of this model?arrow_forward
- The U.S. Census tracks the percentage of persons 25 years or older who are college graduates. That data forseveral years is given in Table 4[14]. Determine whether the trend appears linear. If so, and assuming the trendcontinues. in what year will the percentage exceed 35%?arrow_forwardTable 6 shows the year and the number ofpeople unemployed in a particular city for several years. Determine whether the trend appears linear. If so, and assuming the trend continues, in what year will the number of unemployed reach 5 people?arrow_forwardLife Expectancy The following table shows the average life expectancy, in years, of a child born in the given year42 Life expectancy 2005 77.6 2007 78.1 2009 78.5 2011 78.7 2013 78.8 a. Find the equation of the regression line, and explain the meaning of its slope. b. Plot the data points and the regression line. c. Explain in practical terms the meaning of the slope of the regression line. d. Based on the trend of the regression line, what do you predict as the life expectancy of a child born in 2019? e. Based on the trend of the regression line, what do you predict as the life expectancy of a child born in 1580?2300arrow_forward
- The US. import of wine (in hectoliters) for several years is given in Table 5. Determine whether the trend appearslinear. Ifso, and assuming the trend continues, in what year will imports exceed 12,000 hectoliters?arrow_forward1. Develop a simple linear regression equation for starting salaries using an independent variable that has the closest relationship with the salaries. Explain how you chose this variable.arrow_forwardData contains brain mass in different species versus glia-neuron ratio, the latter being a measurement of brain metabolism as the glia provides the metabolic needs of the neurons. The relationship between THE LOGARITHM of the brain mass (in the third column) and Glia-neuron ratio (fourth column) appears linear and it is these two variables that we wish to analyze via linear regression. We would like to know if the human brain fits the trend from the other species. Towards this end we will perform the regression on all species EXCEPT humans (Homo sapiens). Again, throw out the human data from your analysis. You will however need the human numbers for some of the questions. What is the lower & upper bound of the 95% confidence interval for the slope of the regression line? What is the value of the t-statistic used to test the null hypothesis of zero slope via a t-test? A t-test would reject the null hypothesis at a 0.05 significance level. True Falsearrow_forward
- Data contains brain mass in different species versus glia-neuron ratio, the latter being a measurement of brain metabolism as the glia provides the metabolic needs of the neurons. The relationship between THE LOGARITHM of the brain mass (in the third column) and Glia-neuron ratio (fourth column) appears linear and it is these two variables that we wish to analyze via linear regression. We would like to know if the human brain fits the trend from the other species. Towards this end we will perform the regression on all species EXCEPT humans (Homo sapiens). Again, throw out the human data from your analysis. You will however need the human numbers for some of the questions. What is the coefficient of determination (R2) for the data? What is the standard error of the slope of the regression line (SEb) ?arrow_forwardData contains brain mass in different species versus glia-neuron ratio, the latter being a measurement of brain metabolism as the glia provides the metabolic needs of the neurons. The relationship between THE LOGARITHM of the brain mass (in the third column) and Glia-neuron ratio (fourth column) appears linear and it is these two variables that we wish to analyze via linear regression. We would like to know if the human brain fits the trend from the other species. Towards this end we will perform the regression on all species EXCEPT humans (Homo sapiens). Again, throw out the human data from your analysis. You will however need the human numbers for some of the questions. What is SStotal, SSregression, and SSresidual? What is MSregression and F ratio? Based on the ANOVA analysis the null hypothesis of zero slope is rejected at a significance level of 0.05. True Falsearrow_forwardThe Jersey Dairy Products Company produces cheese, which it sells to supermarkets and foodprocessing companies. Because of concerns about cholesterol and fat in cheese, the company has seen demand for its products decline during the past decade. It is now considering introducing some alternative low-fat dairy products and wants to determine how much available plant capacity it will have next year. The company has developed an exponential smoothing forecast with a = .40 to forecast cheese demand. The actual demand and the forecasts from the model are as follows:Assess the accuracy of the forecast model by using MAD and cumulative error. If the exponential smoothing forecast model does not appear to be accurate, determine whether a linear trend model would provide a more accurate forecast.arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic GeometryAlgebraISBN:9781133382119Author:SwokowskiPublisher:Cengage
Big Ideas Math A Bridge To Success Algebra 1: Stu...AlgebraISBN:9781680331141Author:HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURTPublisher:Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897...AlgebraISBN:9780079039897Author:CarterPublisher:McGraw Hill
College AlgebraAlgebraISBN:9781305115545Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem WatsonPublisher:Cengage Learning
Algebra and Trigonometry (MindTap Course List)AlgebraISBN:9781305071742Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem WatsonPublisher:Cengage Learning
Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic Geometry
Algebra
ISBN:9781133382119
Author:Swokowski
Publisher:Cengage
Big Ideas Math A Bridge To Success Algebra 1: Stu...
Algebra
ISBN:9781680331141
Author:HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT
Publisher:Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897...
Algebra
ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
Publisher:McGraw Hill
College Algebra
Algebra
ISBN:9781305115545
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Algebra and Trigonometry (MindTap Course List)
Algebra
ISBN:9781305071742
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Time Series Analysis Theory & Uni-variate Forecasting Techniques; Author: Analytics University;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_X5q9FYLGxM;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY
Operations management 101: Time-series, forecasting introduction; Author: Brandoz Foltz;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EaqZP36ool8;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY