Stinnett Transmissions, Incorporated, has the following estimates for its new gear assembly project. Price $1,220 per unit; variable costs $380 per unit; fixed costs $3.75 million; quantity = 90,000 units. Suppose the company believes all of its estimates are accurate only to within ±15 percent. What values should the company use for the four variables given here when it performs its best- case scenario analysis? What about the worst-case scenario? Note: Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answers in dollars, not millions of dollars, rounded to the nearest whole number, e.g., 1,234,567. Scenario Unit Sales Unit Price Unit Variable Cost Fixed Costs Base-case 90,000 $ 1,220 $ 380 $ 3,750,000 Best-case Worst-case
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- Hudson Corporation is considering three options for managing its data warehouse: continuing with its own staff, hiring an outside vendor to do the managing, or using a combination of its own staff and an outside vendor. The cost of the operation depends on future demand. The annual cost of each option (in thousands of dollars) depends on demand as follows: If the demand probabilities are 0.2, 0.5, and 0.3, which decision alternative will minimize the expected cost of the data warehouse? What is the expected annual cost associated with that recommendation? Construct a risk profile for the optimal decision in part (a). What is the probability of the cost exceeding $700,000?Huang Industries is considering a proposed project whose estimatedNPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that economic conditions will be “average.”However, the CFO realizes that conditions could be better or worse, so she performed ascenario analysis and obtained these results: Calculate the project’s expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation.Texas Instruments is concerned that the estimated future operating costs of its soon-to-be-purchased equipment may not be very accurate. Let's say, the fixed production costs end up being 15% higher than what the company's research team has estimated, and the variable production costs will on the other hand be 8% lower. Clearly, this will affect the valuation of the project. But to which extent?? To see the extent of the effect on the project's current value, one should perform calculations known as analysis. Multiple Choice break-even scenario O sensitivity O equivalent cost homemade
- Appalachian Crafts is analyzing a project with expected sales of 18,900 units, ±2 percent. The expected variable cost per unit is $23 and the expected fixed costs are $52,000. Cost estimates are considered accurate within a range of ±1 percent. The depreciation expense is $18,400. The sale price is estimated at $54 a unit, ±2 percent. What is the total dollar difference between the revenue using the optimistic sale price versus the expected sale price?Waste Management Inc. is analyzing an average-risk project, and the following data have been developed. Unit sales will be constant, but the sales price will increase with inflation. Fixed costs will also be constant, but variable costs will rise with inflation. The project should last for 3 years, and there will be no salvage value. This is just one project for the firm, so any losses can be used to offset gains on other firm projects. What is the project's expected NPV? IRR? Would you accept this project? WACC 9.50% Net investment cost (depreciable basis) $100,000 Units sold 40,000 Average price per unit, Year 1 $25.00 Fixed op. cost excl. depr'n (constant) $150,000 Variable op. cost/unit, Year 1 $20.20 Annual depreciation rate 33.33% Expected inflation 5.00% Tax rate 40.0% Please show work.1. What is sensitivity analysis? 2. Perform a sensitvity analysis on the unit sales, salvage value, and WACC for a project. Assume that each of these variables deviates from its base-case, or expected value by plus or minus 10%, 20%, and 30%.The base case value for unit sales is 150,000. Calculate NPV for each case (18 NPV in total), then draw a graph with three lines (one for unit sales, one for salvage value, and one for WACC). At the end, perform a sensitivity analysis for the project (what you have seen, what conclusions you can make?). 3. What is the primary weakness of sensitvity analysis? What are its primary advantages?
- Huang Industries is considering a proposed project whose estimated NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that economic conditions will be "average." However, the CFO realizes that conditions could be better or worse, so she performed a scenario analysis and obtained these results: Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome Recession ($40 million) (24 million) 12 million 18 million Boom 0.05 34 million Calculate the project's expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation. Enter your answers for the project's expected NPV and standard deviation in millions. For example, an answer of $13,000,000 should be entered as 13. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places. Below average Average Above average E(NPV): ONPV: CV: million million 0.05 0.20 0.50 NPV 0.20Your boss wants you to conduct a sensitivity and scenario analysis to determine whether the following project is a winner. You are entering an established market, and you know the market size will be 1,100,000 units. You are unsure of your exact market share, the price you will be able to charge, and your variable cost per unit, but have determined a range of possible values for each (in the table below). Your initial investment cost is $150 million, and that investment will depreciate in straight-line form over the 20-year life of the project. There are no new NWC requirements, and there will be no salvage value at the end of the 20 years. The tax rate is 35%. The discount rate is 18%. a) Use the following table to conduct a full sensitivity analysis for the project. Make sure to include the NPV for the expected outcome as part of the full sensitivity analysis. Also add the best- and worst-case scenarios to the full sensitivity analysis. Show all of your work (written out, not an…Assume a project has three variables: life, first cost, and annual cost. Assume there is no salvage value. For each variable there are three possible values as listed below. The firm uses an interest rate of 8 percent to evaluate engineering projects. For each variable, determine which value is "optimistic" and which is "pessimistic". The remaining value is "most likely". Compute each variable's estimated mean (using the "optimistic/most likely/pessimistic" formula) and using those computed mean values, compute the project's expected present value cost. First cost: -$480,000, -$620,000, -$860,000 Annual cost: -$75,000, -$85,000, -$110,000 Life: 8 years, 10 years, 24 years What is Expected Net Present Worth?
- Tyler, Inc., is considering switching to a new production technology. The cost of the required equipment will be $3,529,783 . The discount rate is 13.99 percent. The cash flows that the firm expects the new technology to generate are as follows. a. Compute the payback and discounted payback periods for the project. b. What is the NPV for the project? Should the firm go ahead with the project? c. What is the IRR, and what would be the decision based on the IRR? Years CF 0 $(3,529,783) 1-2 0 3-5 $916,204 6-9 $1,590,056A firm must decide whether to construct a small, medium, or large stamping plant. A consultant’s report indicates a 0.20 probability that demand will be low and a 0.80 probability that demand will be high. If the firms builds a small facility and demand turns out to be low, the net present value will be $42 million. If demand turns out to be high, the firm can either subcontract and realize the net present value of $42 million or expand greatly for a net present value of $48 million. The firm could build a medium size facility as a hedge: if demand turns out to be low, its net present value is estimated at $22 million; if demand turns out to be high, the firm could do nothing and realize a net present value of $46 million, or it could expand and realize a net present value of $50 million. If the firm builds a large facility and demand is low, the net present value will be -$20 million, whereas high demand will result in a net present value of $72 million. Analyze and prepare a decision…General Motors would like an estimate of the chance that Tesla will bring the cost of batteries down from $300 per kWh to $70. Dr. Tetlock has developed a process whereby selected teams are better estimators of future probabilities than experts. General Motors is willing to pay Dr. Tetiock for his teams' O scenarios O contingency plans forecasts