Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN: 9781260013924
Author: Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher: Mcgraw-hill Education,
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#15 Scenario Analysis and Portfolio Risk
The common stock of Learning Tower of Pita Inc., a restaurant chain, will generate payoffs to investor next year, which depends on the state of the economy.
Dividends Stock Price
Boom $8 $240
Normal economy $4 $90
Recession $0 0
- The company goes out of business if a recession hits. Calculate the expected
rate of return and standard deviation of return to the Leaning Tower of Pita shareholders. Assume for simplicity that the three possible states of the economy are equally like, The stock today for $80. - Who would view the stock of Leaning Tower of Pita as a risk-reducing investment- the owner of a gambling casino or a successful bankruptcy lawyer? Explain.
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- 1. Suppose your expectations regarding the stock market are as follows: State of the Probability HPR Economy Boom 0.3 33% Normal growth 0.3 19 Recession 0.4 -15 a. What is the expected return, variance and standard deviation? 2. Assume that you manage a risky portfolio with an expected rate of return of 13% and a standard deviation of 29%. The T-bill rate is 5%. Your client chooses to invest 75% of a portfolio in your fund and 25% in a T-bill money market fund. a. What is the expected return and standard deviation of your client's portfolio? b. What is the reward-to-volatility ratio (S) of your risky portfolio and your client's overall portfolio? Explain the sharp ratio.arrow_forward6) An investor holds a portfolio of stocks and is considering investing in the DBB Company. The firm's prospects look neutral, and you estimate the following probability distribution of possible returns: Conditions Recession P Returns on DBB Returns on DVI 0.12 -33% -12% Below Average 0.15 -18% 7% Average 0.46 12% 11% Above Average 0.15 25% 23% Boom 0.12 37% 25% a) How much is the expected return for DBB? b) How much is the coefficient of variation for DBB? c) Now let's say you want to add another asset, DVI, to your portfolio. You sell 35% of DBB to purchase DVI. How much is your expected return for this portfolio? d) How much is the coefficient of variation for the new portfolio?arrow_forwardNonearrow_forward
- Vijayarrow_forwardConsider the following information: Economy Recession Normal Boom Probability of State of Economy .21 .56 .23 Rate of Return if State Occurs Stock A Stock B a. Expected return of A Expected return of B b. Standard deviation of A Standard deviation of B .015 .095 .250 a. Calculate the expected return for the two stocks. Note: Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answers as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16. -.36 .26 .49 b. Calculate the standard deviation for the two stocks. Note: Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answers as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16. % % %arrow_forwardces A manager believes his firm will earn a return of 23.80 percent next year. His firm has a beta of 1.69, the expected return on the market is 16.30 percent, and the risk-free rate is 6.30 percent. Compute the return the firm should earn given its level of risk. (Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) Required return Determine whether the manager is saying the firm is undervalued or overvalued.. undervalued % overvaluedarrow_forward
- Suppose your expectations regarding the stock market are as follows: State of the Economy Boom Normal growth Recession E (r) = Σs=1 P(s)r(s) Var (r) = ² = Probability 0.3 0.4 0.3 Σs ₁ p (s)[r (s)- E (r)]² HPR 44% 14 -16 SD (r) = 0 = Var (r) Required: Use above equations to compute the mean and standard deviation of the HPR on stocks. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)arrow_forwardQuantitative Problem: You are given the following probability distribution for CHC Enterprises: State of Economy Probability Rate of return Strong 0.25 22 % Normal 0.50 9 % Weak 0.25 -6 % What is the stock's expected return? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places. % What is the stock's standard deviation? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places. % What is the stock's coefficient of variation? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.arrow_forward1. A credit portfolio manager is expecting corporate credit spreads to widen over the next several months. What are two ways that she can take advantage of the excess return (+coupon payments) relative to risk-free assets (i.e. treasuries) but limit the impact of the expected moves?arrow_forward
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