Hilton Hotels is very interested in developing a new hotel in Zambia. The company estimates that the hotel would need an initial investment of $20 million. Hilton Hotel expects the hotel will generate positive cash flows of $3 million a year at the end of each of the next 20 years. The project's cost of capital is 13%. i.What is the project's net present value? ii. Hilton Hotel expects the cash flows to be $3 million a year, but it recognizes that the cash flows could actually be much higher or lower, depending on whether the Zambia government imposes a large hotel tax. One year from now, Hilton Hotel will know whether the tax will be imposed. There is a 50% chance that the tax will be imposed, in which case the yearly cash flows will be only $2.2 million. At the same time, there is a 50% chance that the tax will not be imposed, in which case the yearly cash flows will be $3.8 million. Hilton Hotel is deciding whether to proceed with the hotel today or to wait a year to find out whether the tax will be imposed. If Hilton Hotel waits a year, initial investment will remain at $20 million. Assume that all cash flows are discounted at 13%. Use decision-tree analysis to determine whether Hilton Hotel should proceed with the project today or wait a year before deciding.

Intermediate Financial Management (MindTap Course List)
13th Edition
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Author:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves
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Chapter14: Real Options
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 3MC: Tropical Sweets is considering a project that will cost $70 million and will generate expected cash...
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Hilton Hotels is very interested in developing a new hotel in Zambia. The company estimates that the
hotel would need an initial investment of $20 million. Hilton Hotel expects the hotel will generate
positive cash flows of $3 million a year at the end of each of the next 20 years. The project's cost of
capital is 13%.
i.What is the project's net present value?
ii. Hilton Hotel expects the cash flows to be $3 million a year, but it recognizes that the cash flows could
actually be much higher or lower, depending on whether the Zambia government imposes a large hotel
tax. One year from now, Hilton Hotel will know whether the tax will be imposed. There is a 50% chance
that the tax will be imposed, in which case the yearly cash flows will be only $2.2 million. At the same
time, there is a 50% chance that the tax will not be imposed, in which case the yearly cash flows will be
$3.8 million. Hilton Hotel is deciding whether to proceed with the hotel today or to wait a year to find
out whether the tax will be imposed. If Hilton Hotel waits a year, the initial investment will remain at
$20 million. Assume that all cash flows are discounted at 13%. Use decision-tree analysis to determine
whether Hilton Hotel should proceed with the project today or wait a year before deciding.
Transcribed Image Text:Hilton Hotels is very interested in developing a new hotel in Zambia. The company estimates that the hotel would need an initial investment of $20 million. Hilton Hotel expects the hotel will generate positive cash flows of $3 million a year at the end of each of the next 20 years. The project's cost of capital is 13%. i.What is the project's net present value? ii. Hilton Hotel expects the cash flows to be $3 million a year, but it recognizes that the cash flows could actually be much higher or lower, depending on whether the Zambia government imposes a large hotel tax. One year from now, Hilton Hotel will know whether the tax will be imposed. There is a 50% chance that the tax will be imposed, in which case the yearly cash flows will be only $2.2 million. At the same time, there is a 50% chance that the tax will not be imposed, in which case the yearly cash flows will be $3.8 million. Hilton Hotel is deciding whether to proceed with the hotel today or to wait a year to find out whether the tax will be imposed. If Hilton Hotel waits a year, the initial investment will remain at $20 million. Assume that all cash flows are discounted at 13%. Use decision-tree analysis to determine whether Hilton Hotel should proceed with the project today or wait a year before deciding.
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