Consider the following forecasting model: x^t,t+1=axt+(1-a)x^t-1,t If a decreases from 0.5 to 0.2, then in the forecast for period , which of the following statements is true? Select all correct answers

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Consider the following forecasting model:
x^t,t+1=axt+(1-a)x^t-1,t
If a decreases from 0.5 to 0.2, then in the forecast
for period , which of the following statements is
true? Select all correct answers
It will give more weight to the most recent
observation.
It will give more weight to potential trends in
demand.
It will decrease the forecast error.
It will give more weight to the most recent forecast.
The forecasted value will be smaller.
None of the above.
Transcribed Image Text:Consider the following forecasting model: x^t,t+1=axt+(1-a)x^t-1,t If a decreases from 0.5 to 0.2, then in the forecast for period , which of the following statements is true? Select all correct answers It will give more weight to the most recent observation. It will give more weight to potential trends in demand. It will decrease the forecast error. It will give more weight to the most recent forecast. The forecasted value will be smaller. None of the above.
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