answer only d, e,f

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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answer only d, e,f

6. Professor Hong has developed a payoff table that indicates the payoffs associated with a
set of alternatives under three possible states of nature.
Name:
Tenure Promotion Fired
Teach at another
university
$120,000 $22,000 $20,000
Apply for the dean's job $40,000 $45,000 $180,000
Go into industry
$30,000 $150,000 $250,000
a. As you already know Hong is an extremely optimistic person, what is his
investment decision?
b. Today Hong had an argument with his mom and is feeling extremely pessimistic,
what decision will he make?
c. If Hong chooses to minimize his maximum regret, what is his investment decision?
d. If the manager is neither optimistic nor pessimistic (50:50), what decision will he
make?
e. If Hong thinks the chances of tenure, promotion, and fired are 30%, 20%, and 50%,
respectively, what are the expected net revenues for the number of workers he will
decide to hire?
f. If Hong thinks the chances of tenure, promotion, and fired are 30%, 20%, and 50%,
respectively, what is the expected value of perfect information?
Transcribed Image Text:6. Professor Hong has developed a payoff table that indicates the payoffs associated with a set of alternatives under three possible states of nature. Name: Tenure Promotion Fired Teach at another university $120,000 $22,000 $20,000 Apply for the dean's job $40,000 $45,000 $180,000 Go into industry $30,000 $150,000 $250,000 a. As you already know Hong is an extremely optimistic person, what is his investment decision? b. Today Hong had an argument with his mom and is feeling extremely pessimistic, what decision will he make? c. If Hong chooses to minimize his maximum regret, what is his investment decision? d. If the manager is neither optimistic nor pessimistic (50:50), what decision will he make? e. If Hong thinks the chances of tenure, promotion, and fired are 30%, 20%, and 50%, respectively, what are the expected net revenues for the number of workers he will decide to hire? f. If Hong thinks the chances of tenure, promotion, and fired are 30%, 20%, and 50%, respectively, what is the expected value of perfect information?
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