The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows:YearMileage24,050a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6= miles (round your response to the nearest whole number).b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on thisc) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45 and 0.55 (the weight of 0.55 is for the most recent period)The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45 and 0.55 =d) Using exponential smoothing with a = 0.40 and the forecast for year 1 being 3,100, the forecast for year 6 ==13,10033,40043,80053,750miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint You will have only 3 years of matched data.)miles (round your response to the nearest whole number)miles (round your response to one decimal place) (Hint You will have only 3 years of matched data.)miles (round your response to the nearest whole number)

YearMileage13100240503340043800537506

Answered: a) Using a 2-year moving average, the…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models

Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models

Problem 26P: The file P13_26.xlsx contains the monthly number of airline tickets sold by the CareFree Travel...

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The file P13_42.xlsx contains monthly data on consumer revolving credit (in millions of dollars) through credit unions. a. Use these data to forecast consumer revolving credit through credit unions for the next 12 months. Do it in two ways. First, fit an exponential trend to the series. Second, use Holts method with optimized smoothing constants. b. Which of these two methods appears to provide the best forecasts? Answer by comparing their MAPE values.
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The file P13_26.xlsx contains the monthly number of airline tickets sold by the CareFree Travel Agency. a. Create a time series chart of the data. Based on what you see, which of the exponential smoothing models do you think will provide the best forecasting model? Why? b. Use simple exponential smoothing to forecast these data, using a smoothing constant of 0.1. c. Repeat part b, but search for the smoothing constant that makes RMSE as small as possible. Does it make much of an improvement over the model in part b?
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows Year Mileage 5 3,750 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3750 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = 116.7 miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data) c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.35 and 0.65 (the weight of 0.65 is for the most recent period) = 3750 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). 1 3,050 2 3,950 The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.35 and 0.65 = data.) 3 3,400 3,750 miles (round your response to one decimal place) (Hint You will have only 3 years of matched
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows. Year Mileage a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3750 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = 116.7 miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.35 and 0.65 (the weight of 0.65 is for the most recent period) = miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). 1 3,050 2 3,950 3 3,400 4 3,750 5 3,750 4
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year Mileage miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 1 3,050 2 4,000 3 3,450 4 3,750 5 3,750

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