40 ________ is a planning tool that relies on past data to predict the future demand: Select one: a. Forecasting b. Market analysis c. Supply planning d. Demand flow strategy
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40 ________ is a planning tool that relies on past data to predict the future demand:
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- The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels. Management is trying to decide whether direct labor hours (DLH) or units produced is the better measure of activity for the firm. Monthly data for the preceding 24 months appear in the file P13_40.xlsx. Use regression analysis to determine which measure, DLH or Units (or both), should be used for the budget. How would the regression equation be used to obtain the budget for the firms overhead costs?The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six months of observations for validation purposes, use the method of moving averages with a carefully chosen span to forecast U.S. retail sales in the next year. Comment on the performance of your model. What makes this time series more challenging to forecast?The file P13_42.xlsx contains monthly data on consumer revolving credit (in millions of dollars) through credit unions. a. Use these data to forecast consumer revolving credit through credit unions for the next 12 months. Do it in two ways. First, fit an exponential trend to the series. Second, use Holts method with optimized smoothing constants. b. Which of these two methods appears to provide the best forecasts? Answer by comparing their MAPE values.
- The file P13_26.xlsx contains the monthly number of airline tickets sold by the CareFree Travel Agency. a. Create a time series chart of the data. Based on what you see, which of the exponential smoothing models do you think will provide the best forecasting model? Why? b. Use simple exponential smoothing to forecast these data, using a smoothing constant of 0.1. c. Repeat part b, but search for the smoothing constant that makes RMSE as small as possible. Does it make much of an improvement over the model in part b?15) Which is not considered to be an OPSCM execution process byany of the most popular models?Select one:A. returnsB. manufacturing/production/makeC. logisticsD. procurement/acquisition/purchasingE. research & development16) Purchasing’s role is to get the lowest possible price oneverything needed by OPSCM.Select one:A. TrueB. False17) Which OPSCM macro designs / operations models /manufacturing environments use a forecast to plan for fulfillmentof demand?Select one:A. MTO & ETOB. MTO & MTSC. CTO & MTSD. ETO & MTSE. All of them use forecasts.Which OPSCM maco designs / operations models / manufacturing environments use a forecast to plan for fulfillment of demand? Select one: A. MTO & ETO B. MTO & MTS C. CTO & MTS D. ETO & MTS E. All of them use forecasts. Clear my choice
- Demand forecasting helps a company to respond quickly to market changesgiving the firm a competitive advantage. The process of forecasting establishesthe link between planning and control for the company, and facilitates theeffective output of the firm’s goods and services. A common quantitativemethod of forecasting is time series. Explain what is involved in time seriesanalysis and its significance to demand forecasting.A pizza chain wants to forecast the demand rate for each store for each hour in the day.What type of forecasting method is it most likely to deploy?a. Automated forecastingb. Expert panel forecastingc. Weather forecastingd. Macroeconomic forecastingEngage: Inventory Planning: Forecasting during Uncertainty Inventory Planning: Forecasting During Uncertainty COVID-19 has unleashed unprecedented consumer demand and exposed fractures in the just-in-time supply chain model. In the span of just a few months, your supply chain may have changed drastically. Supplier shutdowns in China. Increased shipping demands. Decreased working capital. These evolving conditions impact your go-forward inventory strategy. Forecasting inventory requirements have always included a mix of past trends, sound predictions, and supplier relationships. But the uncertainties we are facing right now make this process more challenging. This includes Evolving consumer demands Product availability, and Predictable transportation Let's look at these inputs and how they may impact inventory planning. Uncertainties in Consumer Demand Consumer demand is on a roller coaster and the ride doesn’t seem to be slowing down soon. Shelter at home requirements have led…
- Engage: Inventory Planning: Forecasting during Uncertainty Inventory Planning: Forecasting During Uncertainty COVID-19 has unleashed unprecedented consumer demand and exposed fractures in the just-in-time supply chain model. In the span of just a few months, your supply chain may have changed drastically. Supplier shutdowns in China. Increased shipping demands. Decreased working capital. These evolving conditions impact your go-forward inventory strategy. Forecasting inventory requirements have always included a mix of past trends, sound predictions, and supplier relationships. But the uncertainties we are facing right now make this process more challenging. This includes Evolving consumer demands Product availability, and Predictable transportation Let's look at these inputs and how they may impact inventory planning. Uncertainties in Consumer Demand Consumer demand is on a roller coaster and the ride doesn’t seem to be slowing down soon. Shelter at home requirements have led…Engage: Inventory Planning: Forecasting during Uncertainty Inventory Planning: Forecasting During Uncertainty COVID-19 has unleashed unprecedented consumer demand and exposed fractures in the just-in-time supply chain model. In the span of just a few months, your supply chain may have changed drastically. Supplier shutdowns in China. Increased shipping demands. Decreased working capital. These evolving conditions impact your go-forward inventory strategy. Forecasting inventory requirements have always included a mix of past trends, sound predictions, and supplier relationships. But the uncertainties we are facing right now make this process more challenging. This includes Evolving consumer demands Product availability, and Predictable transportation Let's look at these inputs and how they may impact inventory planning. Uncertainties in Consumer Demand Consumer demand is on a roller coaster and the ride doesn’t seem to be slowing down soon. Shelter at home requirements have led…Demand forecasting is a process of O a. Estimation of previous year demand based on current data b. Estimation of future demand based on past and present data O c. Prediction of past demand based on future data o d. Prediction of last year demand using past data
