1. Sales data for two years are as follows. Data are aggregated with two months of sales (in 1,000 units) in each "period." Year 1 Period January February March-April May-June July-August September October November-December Year 2 Sales Period 126 152 165 184 167 123 January February March-April May-June July-August September October November-December Sales 172 151 204 238 189 149 a) Plot the data. b) Fit a linear regression model to all the sales data. c) In addition to the regression model, determine multiplicative seasonal index factors. A full cycle is assumed to be a full year. d) Using the results from parts b) and c), prepare a forecast for the next year.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
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1. Sales data for two years are as follows. Data are aggregated with two months of sales (in
1,000 units) in each "period."
Year 1
Period
Year 2
Sales Period
126
152
165
184
167
123
January-February
March-April
May-June
July-August
September October
November-December
a) Plot the data.
b) Fit a linear regression model to all the sales data.
January February
March-April
May-June
July-August
September October
November-December
Sales
172
151
204
238
189
149
c) In addition to the regression model, determine multiplicative seasonal index factors. A
full cycle is assumed to be a full year.
d) Using the results from parts b) and c), prepare a forecast for the next year.
Transcribed Image Text:1. Sales data for two years are as follows. Data are aggregated with two months of sales (in 1,000 units) in each "period." Year 1 Period Year 2 Sales Period 126 152 165 184 167 123 January-February March-April May-June July-August September October November-December a) Plot the data. b) Fit a linear regression model to all the sales data. January February March-April May-June July-August September October November-December Sales 172 151 204 238 189 149 c) In addition to the regression model, determine multiplicative seasonal index factors. A full cycle is assumed to be a full year. d) Using the results from parts b) and c), prepare a forecast for the next year.
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