In Problems 51-56, are there unique values of
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- Suppose a two-state experiment has the following transition matrix: 0.5 0.5 1 Answer the following questions: 1. If the experiment is in state 1 on the first observation, what is the probability it will be in state 2 on the second observation? 2. If the experiment is in state 1 on the first observation, what is the probability it will be in state 2 on the fourth observation? ... 3. If the experiment is in state 2 on the third observation, what is the probability that it will be in state 2 on the seventh observation? 4. If the experiment is in state 1 on the third observation, what is the probability it will be in state 1 on the fourth, fifth, and sixth observation?arrow_forwardstate 1[.1 .1 .8 1. Consider the transition matrix P= state 2.5 5 0 state 3.7 0 3 a. Identify what the entry in row one, column three (the .8) represents: b. Find p (use your calculator. no work required): c. Identify what the entry in row two, column one of represents.arrow_forwardplease help me get through this question. i need the answer. thank youarrow_forward
- the last 3arrow_forwardConsider a communication channel where each substation transmits and receive data. The probability between the substations is shown in figure 3. 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 2 2 0.3 Figure 3 i. Draw a transition diagram. ii. Write down a transition matrix, P. iii. Name the type of matrix in Q3(b) P(X, =2 X, = 1|X, =3) iv. P(X, =2 X, = 3X, =2) V. enarrow_forwardSuppose a two state experiment has the following transition matrix: P= 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.4 Answer the following questions: 1. Find P(4). 2. If the experiment is in state 2 on the first observation, what is the probability it is in state 2 on the fifth observation? 3. If the experiment is in state 2 on the first observation, what is the probability it is in state 2 on the third and fifth observation?arrow_forward
- In any given day the air quality in a certain city is either good or bad. Records show that when the air quality is good on one day, then there is a 95% chance that it will be good the next day, and when the air quality is bad on one day, then there is 45% chance it will be bad the next day. a. Give the transition matrix. b. if the air quality is good today, what is the probability it will be good two days from now? c. if the air quality is bad today, what is the probability it will be bad three days from now? d. if the there is 20% chance the air quality is good today, what is the probability it will be good tomorrow?arrow_forwardThe weather in the Magical Land of Oz only depends on the weather from the previous day. There are four possible weather patters: Sunny, Raining, Foggy, and Hailing. The probability transition matrix is given 1: below. S R F H S 1 R 1/2 1/4 1/4 F 1/4 3/4 H 0 0 1/4 3/4 1. If it is Raining today, what is the weather forecast for tomorrow? 2. If it is Raining today, what is the weather forecast for a week from today? 3. If it is Raining today, what is the weather forecast for a year from today? 4. If it is Raining today, what is the weather forecast for ten years from today? 5. Find the stable state vector.arrow_forwardPlease slovearrow_forward
- A car rental company has two locations. Each week, 80% of the cars rented at location A are returned to location A and the rest location B. Of the cars rented at location B, 30% are returned to location B by the end of the week and the rest to location A. a. Make a transition diagram for this process. b. Write the transition matrix T for this process. cIf 50% of the company's cars start this week at location A, and 50% at location B, find the proportion of cars that will be at each location one week later Label your answers. d. Write and solve a system of equations to find the stable distribution (correct to 3 decimal places) for this Markov process. Show all calculations and label the row operations.arrow_forwardConsider the transition matrix given below: A B C 4 2 4 01 0 8 0 2 Answer the following questions in the space provided: a. What is the meaning of entry "8"? b. Is this transition matrix regular, absorbing, or neither? Explain. c. If 70% of a population is initially in "A", 20% in "B" and 10% in "C", what is the distribution 3 "steps" later? Give your answers as decimals rounded to three decimal places of percentages to one decimal place. For this part, show the matrix operations in your written work (do the operations on your calculator, but show what you are putting into the calculator). e B I U Ꭶ T 트로 :E 1 E E X₂ X Insert Formulaarrow_forward3. Real Cheap Car Rental Agency operates agencies in two cities, city 1 and city 2. The fractions of the number of cars rented in one city and returned in the same city or to the other city are given the following transition matrix: City at which car is returned City at which car is rented 1 2 2 1 0.65 0.60 a. If a car is rented in city 1, what is the probability that the car is returned in one 0.35 0.40 day to city 1? in two days? in three days? b. If the company owns 500 cars, in the long run how many, on the average, will be in each city?arrow_forward
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