Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134896441
Author: ABEL, Andrew B., BERNANKE, Ben, CROUSHORE, Dean Darrell
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 8, Problem 3WWMD
To determine

To evaluate the stock market to be a good economic forecaster, and to plot a real value of stock market index using the quarterly data since 1961

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According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the GDP Deflator for the 3rd Quarter 2021 is +5.7%. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as rising 5.4 percent over the last 12 months, not seasonally adjusted. Given this information:  1) Interpret these data and summarize its meaning.  2) What are these data measuring?  3) If you were a business economist, which would you use and why?
Construct the following graphs for the US economy using the data from FRED, BEA, and BLS websites. Select the period from 1945 (subject to data availability) until the most recent year available. You have to create each graph three different times by utilizing the data from the three different websites. Be sure to indicate the source of data for each graph. Nominal GDP and real GDP levels on the same graph (two curves on the same graph) Real GDP growth rate Unemployment rate Price Index (CPI or GDP deflator) Inflation rate
The business cycle is the economist's metric for describing the current state of the economy.  How would you describe the U.S. economy's current position in the business cycle?  Please use some data to back up your opinion (Hint: See recent newspaper or magazine for latest summary of economic conditions).
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