Statistical Reasoning for Everyday Life (5th Edition)
5th Edition
ISBN: 9780134494043
Author: Jeff Bennett, William L. Briggs, Mario F. Triola
Publisher: PEARSON
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Textbook Question
Chapter 6.3, Problem 21E
Psychology of Expected Values. In 1953, a French economist named Maurice Allais conducted a survey of how people assess risk. Here are two scenarios that he used, each of which required people to choose between two options.
Decision 1
Option A: 100% chance of gaining $1,000,000
Option B: 10% chance of gaining $2,500,000; 89% chance of gaining $1,000,000; and 1% chance of gaining nothing
Decision 2
Option A: 11% chance of gaining $1,000,000 and 89% chance of gaining nothing
Option B: 10% chance of gaining $2,500,000 and 90% chance of gaining nothing
Allais discovered that for Decision 1, most people chose Option A, while for Decision 2, most people chose Option B.
- a. For each decision, find the expected value of each option.
- b. Are the responses given in the survey consistent with the expected values?
- c. Give a possible explanation for the responses in Allais’s survey.
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Chapter 6 Solutions
Statistical Reasoning for Everyday Life (5th Edition)
Ch. 6.1 - Coin Tossing. Suppose you toss a coin 100 times....Ch. 6.1 - Statistical Significance. What do we mean when we...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 3ECh. 6.1 - Quantifying Significance. What does it mean to say...Ch. 6.1 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.1 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.1 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.1 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.1 - Subjective Significance. For each event in...Ch. 6.1 - Subjective Significance. For each event in...
Ch. 6.1 - Subjective Significance. For each event in...Ch. 6.1 - Subjective Significance. For each event in...Ch. 6.1 - Subjective Significance. For each event in...Ch. 6.1 - Subjective Significance. For each event in...Ch. 6.1 - Subjective Significance. For each event in...Ch. 6.1 - Subjective Significance. For each event in...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 17ECh. 6.1 - Carpal Tunnel Syndrome Treatments. An experiment...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 19ECh. 6.1 - Prob. 20ECh. 6.1 - Human Body Temperature. In a study by researchers...Ch. 6.1 - Seat Belts and Children. In a study of children...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 23ECh. 6.1 - Subjective Significance. For each event in...Ch. 6.2 - Outcomes and Events. Distinguish between an...Ch. 6.2 - Notation. What does it mean when we write P(A)?...Ch. 6.2 - Probability Types. Briefly describe the...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 4ECh. 6.2 - Prob. 5ECh. 6.2 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 7ECh. 6.2 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.2 - Counting Outcomes. How many different three-child...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 10ECh. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 1120, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 1120, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 1120, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 1120, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 1120, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 1120, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 1120, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 1120, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 1120, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 1120, use...Ch. 6.2 - Days of the Week. What is the probability of...Ch. 6.2 - Days of the Week. What is the probability of...Ch. 6.2 - Complementary Events. Exercises 2330 involve...Ch. 6.2 - Complementary Events. Exercises 2330 involve...Ch. 6.2 - Complementary Events. Exercises 2330 involve...Ch. 6.2 - Complementary Events. Exercises 2330 involve...Ch. 6.2 - Complementary Events. Exercises 2330 involve...Ch. 6.2 - Complementary Events. Exercises 2330 involve...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 29ECh. 6.2 - Prob. 30ECh. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 3134, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 3134, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 3134, use...Ch. 6.2 - Theoretical Probabilities. For Exercises 3134, use...Ch. 6.2 - Relative Frequency Probabilities. Use the relative...Ch. 6.2 - Relative Frequency Probabilities. Use the relative...Ch. 6.2 - Relative Frequency Probabilities. Use the relative...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 38ECh. 6.2 - Probability Distributions. In Exercises 39 and 40,...Ch. 6.2 - Probability Distributions. In Exercises 39 and 40,...Ch. 6.3 - Law of Large Numbers. What is the law of large...Ch. 6.3 - Understanding the Law of Large Numbers. In terms...Ch. 6.3 - Expected Value. What is an expected value, and how...Ch. 6.3 - Gamblers Fallacy. What is the gamblers fallacy?...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 5ECh. 6.3 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 7ECh. 6.3 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.3 - Gender Selection. In analyzing genders of...Ch. 6.3 - Speedy Driver. A person who has a habit of driving...Ch. 6.3 - Should You Play? Suppose you are offered this...Ch. 6.3 - Kentuckys Pick 4 Lottery. If you bet 1 in...Ch. 6.3 - Expected Value for Life Insurance. There is a...Ch. 6.3 - Expected Value for Life Insurance There is a...Ch. 6.3 - Expected Waiting Time. You arrive at a bus stop...Ch. 6.3 - Expected Value in Roulette. As shown in Figure...Ch. 6.3 - Expected Value in Casino Dice. When you give a...Ch. 6.3 - New Jersey Pick 4. In New Jerseys Pick 4 lottery,...Ch. 6.3 - Extra Points in Football. Football teams have the...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 20ECh. 6.3 - Psychology of Expected Values. In 1953, a French...Ch. 6.3 - Behind in Coin Tossing: Can You Catch Up? Suppose...Ch. 6.4 - Risk and Travel. What is travel risk? Give an...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 2ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 3ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 4ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 5ECh. 6.4 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 7ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 8ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 9ECh. 6.4 - Commercial Aviation. For Exercises 912, use the...Ch. 6.4 - Commercial Aviation. For Exercises 912, use the...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 12ECh. 6.4 - Births/Deaths. For Exercises 1316, use the data in...Ch. 6.4 - Births/Deaths. For Exercises 1316, use the data in...Ch. 6.4 - Births/Deaths. For Exercises 1316, use the data in...Ch. 6.4 - Births/Deaths. For Exercises 1316, use the data in...Ch. 6.4 - Vital Statistics. For Exercises 1720, use the data...Ch. 6.4 - Vital Statistics. For Exercises 1720, use the data...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 19ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 20ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 21ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 22ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 23ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 24ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 25ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 26ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 27ECh. 6.4 - Prob. 28ECh. 6.4 - Life in This Century. Example 5 assumed that the...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 30ECh. 6.5 - Independence. Let A denote the event of getting a...Ch. 6.5 - Independence. A geneticist is working with 3 green...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 3ECh. 6.5 - Complementary Events. Let A be the event of...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 5ECh. 6.5 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.5 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.5 - Does It Make Sense? For Exercises 58, determine...Ch. 6.5 - Births. Assume that boys and girls are equally...Ch. 6.5 - Births. A couple plans to have four children. Find...Ch. 6.5 - Password. A programmer is instructed to create a...Ch. 6.5 - Wearing Hunter Orange. A study of hunting injuries...Ch. 6.5 - Songs. The 50 songs on a smartphone consist of 15...Ch. 6.5 - Polls. A pollster plans to call adults. She has a...Ch. 6.5 - Probability and Court Decisions. In Exercises...Ch. 6.5 - Probability and Court Decisions. In Exercises...Ch. 6.5 - Probability and Court Decisions. In Exercises...Ch. 6.5 - Probability and Court Decisions. In Exercises...Ch. 6.5 - Probability and Court Decisions. In Exercises...Ch. 6.5 - Probability and Court Decisions. In Exercises...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 21ECh. 6.5 - Pedestrian Deaths. For Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 23ECh. 6.5 - Pedestrian Deaths. For Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 25ECh. 6.5 - Pedestrian Deaths. For Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 6.5 - Clinical Trial. In a clinical trial of an allergy...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 28ECh. 6.5 - Prob. 29ECh. 6.5 - Survey Refusals. Refer to the data in Exercise 29....Ch. 6.5 - Drug Testing. A 1-Panel-THC test for marijuana use...Ch. 6.5 - BINGO. The game of BINGO involves drawing numbered...Ch. 6 - For Exercises 17, use the data in the following...Ch. 6 - For Exercises 17, use the data in the following...Ch. 6 - For Exercises 17, use the data in the following...Ch. 6 - For Exercises 17, use the data in the following...Ch. 6 - For Exercises 17, use the data in the following...Ch. 6 - For Exercises 17, use the data in the following...Ch. 6 - For Exercises 17, use the data in the following...Ch. 6 - The Binary Computer Company manufactures computer...Ch. 6 - For a recent year, the fatality rate from motor...Ch. 6 - A Las Vegas handicapper can correctly predict the...Ch. 6 - For the handicapper in Exercise 1, find the...Ch. 6 - In a clinical trial of the effectiveness of a...Ch. 6 - If P(A) = 0.65, what is the value of P(not A)?Ch. 6 - In Exercises 610, use the following results. The...Ch. 6 - In Exercises 610, use the following results. The...Ch. 6 - Prob. 8CQCh. 6 - In Exercises 610, use the following results. The...Ch. 6 - In Exercises 610, use the following results. The...
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