Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781337106665
Author: Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher: Cengage Learning
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Question
Chapter 17, Problem 5MC
To determine
Calculate the probability of success.
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solution
Students have asked these similar questions
14. Suppose an investment project has an NPV of $75 million if it becomes successful and an NPV of –$25 million if it is a failure. What is the minimum probability of success above which you should make the investment?
Group of answer choicesa. 0.50b. 0.25c. 0.33d. 0.10
The project manager of Good Public Relations gatheredthe data shown in Table 7.15 for a new advertisingcampaign.a. How long is the project likely to take?
b. What is the probability that the project will take more than38 weeks?c. Consider the path A–E–G–H–J. What is the probability thatthis path will exceed 38 weeks?
1. George maximizes expected utility and he has a von-Neumann-Morgenstern utility function u (c) =
√e. He has an initial wealth of $1,000. He finds an investment opportunity. The project has a
startup cost of $1000, and a 9% chance of success. If the project succeeds, the payoff is $100,000;
if it fails, its payoff is $0.
(a) Would George invest in this project?
(b) Suppose George has an initial wealth of $100, 000 instead of $1,000. Would he invest in this
project?
(c) Comparing your answers in parts (a) and (b), how does George's risk appetite change? Why?
Chapter 17 Solutions
Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
Knowledge Booster
Similar questions
- Consider an investment that pays off $700 or $1,600 per $1,000 invested with equal probability. Suppose you have $1,000 but are willing to borrow to increase your expected return. What would happen to the expected value and standard deviation of the investment if you borrowed an additional $1,000 and invested a total of $2,000? What if you borrowed $2,000 to invest a total of $3,000? Instructions: Fill in the table below to answer the questions above. Enter your responses as whole numbers and enter percentage values as percentages not decimals (.e., 20% not 0.20). Enter a negative sign (-) to indicate a negative number if necessary. Invest $1,000 Invest $2,000 Invest $3,000 Expected Value Percent Increase Standard Deviation 1150 S 28 % $ 8 % $ Expected Return N/A Doubled Tripled : #arrow_forwardThe probability that a visitor to an animal shelter will adopt a dog is 0.10. Out of 9 visits, what is the probability that at least (equal to or more than) 1 dog will be adopted? a. 0.3874 b. 0.6126 c. 0.5639 d. 0.1342arrow_forwarda) (3) Consider two investments X and Y, where X pays $0 and $10 with equal probability and Y pays 0 with probability 0.75 and $20 with probability 0.25. What investment would an investor choose if her utility function is u(x) = x? u(x) = x u(x) = 1-e 10 () (i) (ii)arrow_forward
- 4. In a paper published in 2020, Robson and co-author Saul Schwartz, a professor in the School of Public Policy at Carleton, found that about 11% of Canadians don't file their tax returns.In our ECON224 class of 35 students: (a) What is the probability that at least 6 students won’t file their tax returns this year? (b) What is the probability that more than 30 students will file their tax returns this year? (c) What is the probability that the number of students in our ECON224 class who won’t file a tax return this year will be greater than 2 but less than 7? Note:- Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism. Answer completely. You will get up vote for sure.arrow_forward2.4 The opening 2018 World Cup odds against being the winning team specified by espn.com were 9/2 for Germany, 5/1 for Brazil, 11/2 for France, 20/1 for England, and 7/1 for Spain. Find the corresponding prior probabilities of winning for these five teams.arrow_forwardA man purchased a $22,500, 1-yr term-life insurance policy for $695. Assuming that the probability that he will live for another year is 0.995, find the company's expected gain. (Round your answer to the nearest cent.) $arrow_forward
- Questions 18 through 20 refer to the following information: Shawn's consumption is subject to risk. With probability 0.75 he will enjoy 10000 in consumption, but with probability 0.25 he will have only 3600. His utility function for consumption is given by v(c) = vc. Question 18 What is the expected value of Shawn's consumption? Question 19 What is his expected utility?arrow_forwardEconomics Shawn's consumption is subject to risk. With probability 0.75 he will enjoy 10000 in consumption, but with probability 0.25 he will have only 3600. His utility function for consumption is given by v(c) = Vc. -What is the expected value of Shawn's consumption? -What is his expected utility? -What is his certainty equivalent of having 10000 with probability 0.75 and 3600 with probability 0.25?arrow_forwardA construction company needs to move lumber onto the roof of a building. If the lumber falls and hits someone it will cause $1,200,000 in damage. Assume that company must choose between the following levels of precaution: Spend $500 and the probability of an accident is .05 Spend $5,000 and the probability of an accident is .01 Spend $8,000 and the probability of an accident is .008 Spend $10,000 and the probability of an accident is .003 If the construction company is strictly liable for the costs of the accident, how much would they spend on precaution? A. $500 B. $5,000 C. $8,000 D. $10,000arrow_forward
- Decisions Involving Uncertainty - End of Chapter Problem You're a project manager overseeing five teams that are developing a new app. Each team must complete their work by July 1 in order to release the app by the end of the year. Based on your work managing the project, you know that each team has about a 75% chance of meeting the deadline. a. The probability that your firm will complete the project by the end of the year is b. Suppose that before you calculate the probability of completing the project, you walk into a weekly status meeting with the CEO. When she asks you for your "gut feeling" about the probability of finishing the project by the end of the year, you respond with an answer that exhibits the anchoring bias. Your response will likely be, "About 70%." "About 90%." "About 25%."arrow_forwardIn a game, there are three values 1, 000, 2.500 and 5,000 and the cost of the game is 1, 500 . If each outcome has an equal probability of occurring, then what is the expected value of playing the game?arrow_forwardThe injured football player Bad news everyone! There is 1 second left in the game, and Tom Brady has injured himself. The matrices below depict the relative probabilities of winning givenan offensive and a defensive play call. (The row player is the New England Patriots and the column player is the opponent.) How much has the all star's home team probability of winning decreased due to the injury? Pass uny Patriots D Pass .4, .6 D Run .9,.1 .8,.2 .5,.5 Pass Run Opponent D Pass D Run .06, .94 .32, .68 .8,.2 .5,.5arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving ApproachEconomicsISBN:9781337106665Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike ShorPublisher:Cengage Learning
Managerial Economics: Applications, Strategies an...EconomicsISBN:9781305506381Author:James R. McGuigan, R. Charles Moyer, Frederick H.deB. HarrisPublisher:Cengage Learning
Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
Economics
ISBN:9781337106665
Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Managerial Economics: Applications, Strategies an...
Economics
ISBN:9781305506381
Author:James R. McGuigan, R. Charles Moyer, Frederick H.deB. Harris
Publisher:Cengage Learning