Fundamentals of Corporate Finance
11th Edition
ISBN: 9780077861704
Author: Stephen A. Ross Franco Modigliani Professor of Financial Economics Professor, Randolph W Westerfield Robert R. Dockson Deans Chair in Bus. Admin., Bradford D Jordan Professor
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
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Question
Chapter 12.5, Problem 12.5BCQ
Summary Introduction
To critically think about: The type of average return that the investor should use to forecast the stock market prices for the next century.
Introduction:
Total return refers to the total income from an investment. The total income includes the periodic incomes and the increase or decrease in the value of an asset. Average returns refer to the returns that the investments earn in a typical year.
Arithmetic average return refers to the
Geometric average return refers to the return per year after compounding the average returns for multiple years.
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Check out a sample textbook solutionStudents have asked these similar questions
The metric that is used to show the extent to which a given stock’s return move up and down with the stock market?
a. Correlation
b. Beta
c. Standard deviation
d. Expected return
A challenge we run into when forecasting future stock returns is
that stock returns compound. So, when using historical
averages to forecast the future, we need to average together
the arithmetic and geometric average returns using Blume's
Formula:
R(T) = T GeoAvg + NT Arith Avg
N-1
In this formula, N is the number of historical annual returns you
are using to calculate your averages and T is the number of
future annual returns you are forecasting.
Suppose you gather the following prices for a stock in order to
calculate the last 10 (N = 10) annual returns. The stock does not
pay dividends.
Time
0
1
Time
0
calculate the last 10 (N=10) annual returns. The stock does not
pay dividends.
1
2
3
4
5
10
6
.
7
8
9
10
Price
$23.16
$32.81
Price
$23.16
$32.81
$33.63
$36.83
$41.95
$41.04
$33.83
$37.45
$30.56
$29.90
$47.93
Using Blume's formula, what is the expected return per year for
the next 4 years (T = 4)?
Enter your answer as a percentage, rounded to the nearest 0.0001.
For example, for…
Name the econometric term used for estimating the correlation between today’s stock price and the price of previous days (lag prices).
Chapter 12 Solutions
Fundamentals of Corporate Finance
Ch. 12.1 - Prob. 12.1ACQCh. 12.1 - Why are unrealized capital gains or losses...Ch. 12.1 - What is the difference between a dollar return and...Ch. 12.2 - Prob. 12.2ACQCh. 12.2 - Why doesnt everyone just buy small stocks as...Ch. 12.2 - What was the smallest return observed over the 88...Ch. 12.2 - About how many times did large-company stocks...Ch. 12.2 - What was the longest winning streak (years without...Ch. 12.2 - How often did the T-bill portfolio have a negative...Ch. 12.3 - Prob. 12.3ACQ
Ch. 12.3 - What was the real (as opposed to nominal) risk...Ch. 12.3 - Prob. 12.3CCQCh. 12.3 - What is the first lesson from capital market...Ch. 12.4 - In words, how do we calculate a variance? A...Ch. 12.4 - With a normal distribution, what is the...Ch. 12.4 - Prob. 12.4CCQCh. 12.4 - What is the second lesson from capital market...Ch. 12.5 - Prob. 12.5ACQCh. 12.5 - Prob. 12.5BCQCh. 12.6 - What is an efficient market?Ch. 12.6 - Prob. 12.6BCQCh. 12 - Chase Bank pays an annual dividend of 1.05 per...Ch. 12 - The risk premium is computed as the excess return...Ch. 12 - Prob. 12.4CTFCh. 12 - Prob. 12.5CTFCh. 12 - Prob. 12.6CTFCh. 12 - Investment Selection [LO4] Given that Fannie Mae...Ch. 12 - Prob. 2CRCTCh. 12 - Risk and Return [LO2, 3] We have seen that over...Ch. 12 - Market Efficiency Implications [LO4] Explain why a...Ch. 12 - Efficient Markets Hypothesis [LO4] A stock market...Ch. 12 - Semistrong Efficiency [LO4] If a market is...Ch. 12 - Efficient Markets Hypothesis [LO4] What are the...Ch. 12 - Stocks versus Gambling [LO4] Critically evaluate...Ch. 12 - Efficient Markets Hypothesis [LO4] Several...Ch. 12 - Efficient Markets Hypothesis [LO4] For each of the...Ch. 12 - Calculating Returns [LO1] Suppose a stock had an...Ch. 12 - Calculating Yields [LO1] In Problem 1, what was...Ch. 12 - Prob. 3QPCh. 12 - Prob. 4QPCh. 12 - Nominal versus Real Returns [LO2] What was the...Ch. 12 - Bond Returns [LO2] What is the historical real...Ch. 12 - Prob. 7QPCh. 12 - Risk Premiums [LO2, 3] Refer to Table 12.1 in the...Ch. 12 - Calculating Returns and Variability [LO1] Youve...Ch. 12 - Calculating Real Returns and Risk Premiums [LO1]...Ch. 12 - Calculating Real Rates [LO1] Given the information...Ch. 12 - Prob. 12QPCh. 12 - Prob. 13QPCh. 12 - Calculating Returns and Variability [LO1] You find...Ch. 12 - Arithmetic and Geometric Returns [LO1] A stock has...Ch. 12 - Arithmetic and Geometric Returns [LO1] A stock has...Ch. 12 - Using Return Distributions [LO3] Suppose the...Ch. 12 - Prob. 18QPCh. 12 - Distributions [LO3] In Problem 18, what is the...Ch. 12 - Blumes Formula [LO1] Over a 40-year period an...Ch. 12 - Prob. 21QPCh. 12 - Calculating Returns [LO2, 3] Refer to Table 12.1...Ch. 12 - Using Probability Distributions [LO3] Suppose the...Ch. 12 - Using Probability Distributions [LO3] Suppose the...Ch. 12 - Prob. 1MCh. 12 - Prob. 2MCh. 12 - Prob. 3MCh. 12 - Prob. 4MCh. 12 - A measure of risk-adjusted performance that is...Ch. 12 - Prob. 6M
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