Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
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Will the use of decision tree analysis guarantee the best decision for a firm? Why or why not? If not, why bother using it?
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- Use the following information to answer multiple-choice Questions 21 to 30. A fibre glass company is considering the possibility of introducing a new product. Because of the expense involved in developing the initial moulds and acquiring the necessary equipment to produce fibreglass, it has decided to conduct a pilot study to make sure that the market will be adequate. They estimate that the pilot study will cost £12,000. Furthermore, the pilot study can be either successful or unsuccessful. The basic decisions are to build a large manufacturing facility, a small manufacturing facility, or no facility at all. With a favourable market, the company can expect to make £100,000 from the large facility or £60,000 from the smaller facility. If the market is unfavourable, however, they estimate that they would lose £40,000 with a large facility, while they would lose only £30,000 with the small facility. The company estimates that the probability of a favourable market given a successful…arrow_forwardUse this data to illustrate how the manager might make the decision if he uses each of the following heuristics: elimination by aspects (EBA)arrow_forwardwhy is it better to use regression analysis rather than variance analysis in analyzing drivers of customer satisfaction ?arrow_forward
- Bias in decision-making happens without a thought in most decisions. Identify a recent or current event in which you think bias was evident in the decision-making process surrounding that event.arrow_forwardDescribe the situation when the decision maker used qualitative analysis using the first two steps of the five-step decision-making process.arrow_forwardDo you think that the use of Pivot Tables is important for a Business Analysis? Argument your answer.arrow_forward
- 1. How IS is different from IT? 2. What are Management Information Systems? 3. Which type of analysis is usually performed by decision support systems?arrow_forwardWhich aspect of decision making is NOT ALWAYS part of a decision tree? the sequence of the decision making the states of nature and their probabilities the outcomes of an experiment O the individual decisions involved « Previousarrow_forwardConstruct a decision tree and answer the following questions: What is the EMV of each decision alternative? Which action should be selected? What is the expected value with perfect information? What is the expected value of perfect information?arrow_forward
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