ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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Suppose that the natural
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- 1. Aggregate demand, aggregate supply, and the Phillips curve In the year 2027, aggregate demand and aggregate supply in the imaginary country of Aso-Kuju are represented by the curves AD2027 and AS on the following graph. The price level is currently 102. The graph also shows two potential outcomes for 2028. The first possible aggregate demand curve is given by the curve labeled ADA curve, resulting in the outcome given by point A. The second possible aggregate demand curve is given by the curve labeled ADB, resulting in the outcome given by point B. PRICE LEVEL 108 107 106 105 104 103 102 101 100 0 AD 2027 2 4 B AS ADB ADA 8 10 6 OUTPUT (Trillions of dollars) 12 14 16 (?) Suppose the unemployment rate is 7% under one of these two outcomes and 5% under the other. Based on the previous graph, you would expect outcome B▼ to be associated with the lower unemployment rate (5%). If aggregate demand is high in 2028, and the economy is at outcome B, the inflation rate between 2027 and 2028…arrow_forwardNote :Don't use chat botarrow_forwardThe Short-Run Phillips Curve given by T = E (x) – 0.4 (u – 10) + v Suppose that the economy has adaptive expectations and no inflation shocks. If inflation goes down by 3.3 percentage points a year from today, what is the unemployment rate one year from now? Round your answer to the nearest two decimal place. Write your answer in percentage terms so if your answer is 10%, write 10.arrow_forward
- The following graph depicts the short-run and long-run Phillips curves (SRPC and LRPC) for a hypothetical economy in long-run macroeconomic equilibrium at point A, where the natural unemployment rate is 6% and the current inflation rate is 8% per year.arrow_forwardIllustrate the effects of the following developments on Phillips curves. Give the economic reasoning underlying your answers. a) In order to increase the amount of highly skilled labour in Indonesia, the government decided to make an online training program. What will happen to the Phillips Curve?arrow_forwardAssume that the economy self corrects to long-run equilibrium without a governmental policy. Which of the following is the correct adjustment on the Phillips Curve Graph?arrow_forward
- Assume that the federal government increases unemployment compensation, which of the following is the correct adjustment on the Phillips Curve Graph?arrow_forwardThe following graphs show the state of an economy that is currently in long-run equilibrium. The first graph shows the aggregate demand (AD) and long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) curves. The second shows the long-run and short-run Phillips curves (LRPC and SRPC). PRICE LEVEL INFLATION RATE 0 3 LRAS 4 5 LRPC 9 AD O AD LRAS 6 12 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (Percent) 15 SRPC 18 Ⓒ SRPC - LRPCarrow_forwardWhen you graph the Phillips curve, what goes on the y-axis? Change in inflation Rate of inflation Change in consumer price Change in short-run outputarrow_forward
- If the current inflation rate is 10% and you are asked to predict the cost of decreasing it to 3% next year. 1)Will it result deflation policy or a disinflation policy? Why? 2) Give an estimate of the cost in terms of output assuming the sacrifice ratio is 4 and explain the economic cost of reducing inflation by drawing the Phillips curve. 3) If an economist says computing the cost of this policy using the sacrifice ratio is not totally correct because people are rational and they will take the new policy into account when forming expectations about the future. Explain this statement and the reason behind it by showing what happens the Phillips curve 4)if people update their expectations about the future instantaneously. How costly would it be to reduce inflation if the adjustment in expectations occurs instantaneously?arrow_forwardSuppose there is a 1% inflation shock, the Phillips curve beta is 2, the output gap is 1% and inflation expectations are 2%. What should be inflation in the long run? can you please show the formulas and steps for thisarrow_forwarda) Explain the concept of the natural rate of unemployment using the expectations-augmented (modified or modern) Phillips curve model. b) Why is this model useful for policy-makers?arrow_forward
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