A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134753119
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher: PEARSON
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On any given day Gary is either cheerful (C), so-so (S), or glum (G). If he is cheerful today, then he will be C, S, or G tomorrow with respective probabilities 0.5, 0.4, 0.1. If he is feeling so-so today, then he will be C, S, or G tomorrow with probabilities 0.3, 0.4, 0.3. If he is glum today, then he will be C, S, or G tomorrow with probabilities 0.2, 0.3, 0.5. Suppose that Gary is currently in a cheerful mood. What is the
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- You've been scheduled to play three games of pickleball against someone you know very little about. Assume your opponent is either an amateur, an equal (i.e., they are just as talented as you are, but no more), or a professional. You can assume your opponent is equally likely to be any of the three levels, and that you'll win a single game against the amateur, your equal, and the professional with probabilities p1, 0.5, and p2 respectively, where we'll assume that 0<p2<0.5<p1<1. Given that you win the first game, what's the probability that you'll win the next two against the same opponent, whoever that turned out be? Again, express your general answer in terms of p1p1and p2p2, and verify your answer using p1=0.7 and p2=0.25 out to at least three decimal places.arrow_forwardOmar commutes from his home to Concordia by car. To try to get to his class on time, he tries different routes to get to Concordia but heavy traffic and construction keeps occurring randomly along his four favourite routes: routes A, B, C, and D, which he takes with probabilities of 0.4, 0.15, 0.3, and 0.15, respectively. If he takes route A then he is on time for class with a probability of 0.7, if route B then he is on time with probability 0.9, if route C then he is on time with probability 0.8, and if route D then he is on time with probability 0.6. (a)What is the probability that Omar arrives to class on time? (b) If Omar arrives to class on time, what is the probability that he took route A?arrow_forwardSuppose you’re playing Texas Hold ’Em Poker, and you are dealt a hand witha Jack of Clubs and a Queen of Hearts. The river of 5 cards hasn’t been dealtyet, and you’re hoping to get a straight (5 cards with consecutive ranks, such as10,J,Q,K,A or 8,9,10,J,Q). What is the probability that you will get a straightthat uses both the Jack and Queen in your hand? (This last part is to keep theproblem simple, since it’s possible to get a straight that uses neither card in your hand, suchas A,2,3,4,5, all in the river. Besides, in those cases, ALL players would have a straight, sothat’s not so good for you!)Guide: Our goal is to calculate:P(straight using both cards in hand) = # 5-card combinations that get us a straight with the J & Q# 5-card combinations overall .(a) We’ll start with the denominator, which can be done with a singleformula from class: How many 5-card combinations are possible for theriver? (Keep in mind what is in your hand. Note that how many opponents you haveand what…arrow_forward
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