ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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- 4. Study Questions and Problems #4 Suppose you flipped an honest coin 10 times and tails came up 4 times. You are about to toss the coin another 10 times. Complete the statements that follow to indicate how many tails you would expect in the next 10 coin flips based on adaptive expectations theory and rational expectations theory. Using adaptive expectations, you would expect tails to come up. Using rational expectations, you would expect tails to come up.arrow_forwardThe Phillips curve shows that, in the short-run: A. expected changes in aggregate demand produce a positive relationship between inflation and unemployment. B. unexpected changes in aggregate demand produce a positive relationship between inflation and unemployment. C. expected changes in aggregate demand produce an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment. D. unexpected changes in aggregate demand produce an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment.arrow_forward3. Explain how a rise in Government expending affects:3.1. The Phillips curve in the short run? How do you think are employers and employees going to react to this policy under adaptive expectations? 3.2. If the demand policy continues to apply how this is going to affect the Philips curve in the long run? 3.3. What about if the agents have rational expectations, is this policy effective?arrow_forward
- Suppose that an economy has the Phillips curve π = π−1 − 0.5( u − 0.06). a. What is the natural rate of unemployment? b. Graph the short-run and long-run relationships between inflation and unemployment. c. How much cyclical unemployment is necessary to reduce inflation by 5 percentage points? Using Okun’s law, compute the sacrifice ratio. d. Inflation is running at 10 percent. The Fed wants to reduce it to 5 percent. Give two scenarios that will achieve that goal.arrow_forwardSuppose that a fall in consumer spending causes a recession. a. Illustrate the changes in the economy using both an aggregate supply/aggregate demand diagram and a Phillips curve diagram. What happens to inflation and unemployment in the short run? (5%) b. Now suppose that over time, expected inflation changes in the same direction that actual inflation changes. What happens to the position of the short-run Phillips curve? After the recession is over, does the economy face a better or worse set of inflation– unemployment combinations? (5%)arrow_forwardPlease answer question. Thanks.arrow_forward
- Please no written by handarrow_forwardThe accompanying graph depicts the Short-Run Phillips O Curve (SRPC) when the public expects no inflation in the economy. Macmillan Learning a. According to this SRPC, what would inflation be if unemployment is 9%? 0 Incorrect b. Please move the SRPC line to reflect what would happen if the public's inflation expectations increased so that they now expect the inflation rate to increase by 2%. c. If the unemployment rate is still 9%, what is the new inflation rate after this change in expectations? % 2 % Inflation rate (%) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 0 1 SRPC 2 3 4 5 6 Unemployment rate (%) 7 8 9 10arrow_forwardPick one answer for each question. 1. According to a neoclassical economist, the government should respond to a decrease in aggregate demand by ______. A. raising interest rates B. doing nothing C. balancing the budget 9. From a neoclassical perspective, the Phillips curve is vertical because ______. A. long-run unemployment is fixed at the natural rate of unemployment B. long-run aggregate supply is always the same as short-run aggregate supply c. the inflation rate is fixed in the long-runarrow_forward
- Briefly discuss the difference between rational and adaptive expectations. (100 words max)arrow_forwardI'd like help on first 3 subsectionsarrow_forwardWhich of the following is correct if there is a favorable supply shock? a. the short-run aggregate supply curve and the short-run Phillips curve both shift right. b. the short-run aggregate supply curve and the short-run Phillips curve both shift left. c. the short-run aggregate supply curve shifts left and the short-run Phillips curve shifts right. d. the short-run aggregate supply curve shifts right and the short-run Phillips curve shifts left.arrow_forward
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