In 2016, when the interest rate on 10-year German government bonds became negative, an article in the Wall Street Journal noted that the interest rate on 10-year bonds depended in part on investors' expectations of future short-term interest rates. The article also noted that "investors don't seem to have changed their perception of... [short-term] interest rates in the future." If the article is correct, can the expectations theory explain why the interest rate on 10-year German government bonds declined? Can the risk premium theory? Briefly explain.
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- Suppose that the interest rate on a one-year Treasury bill is currently 1%and that investors expect that the interest rates on one-year Treasury bills over thenext three years will be 2%, 3%, and 2%, respectively. Suppose that the expectationshypothesis holds. Calculate the current interest rates on two-year, three-year, andfour-year Treasury notes.Can you explain the . pure expectation theory, preferred habbit theory, biased expectations theory and market segmentation theory?A Wall Street Journal offered the following opinion of the bond market in September 2012, when inflation rate was about 2%: Ac€A?Someone buying long-term bonds yielding 1.5% or 2% and then seeing consumer price inflation of 4%, will be on the loosing end of the betAc€??. a. Explain verbally and illustrate graphically what will happen to the price of bonds if expected inflation increases to 4% from 2%. Be sure to include in your answer the demand the bond market. b. Explain why someone buying long-term bonds yielding 1.5% or 2% and then seeing consumer price inflation of 4%, will be on the loosing end of the bet. c. Suppose that you expect a greater increase in inflation than do others investors, but that you do not expect the increase to occur until 2015. Should you wait until 2015 to sell your bond? Briefly explain. d. The columnist also argued that long-term bonds would be a good investment if only Ac€A? when we get serious price deflationAc€?? Ac€?c *Explain verbally and illustrate…
- 1. A. Harold Hotelling forecast that someday the oil industry would come to an end. For the interim period, in between his time and the end of oil, what were Hotelling's expectations for (i) consumers, (ii) oil production investors, and (iii) oil prices? B. Marion King Hubbard forecast that the oil industry would continue to expand, and then shrink. What reasoning did Marion King Hubbert use to form his expectations? C. Contrary to the forecast of Harold Hotelling, today's global oil output is greater than ever. Nevertheless, what have top Middle East oil exporting nations do to apply Hotelling's expectations into their own national oil export policies? D. Also contrary to the beliefs of Marion King Hubbert, today's global oil output is greater than ever, rather than less. Even the USA's oil output is greater today than it was when Hubbert made his forecast. Nevertheless, what have the major oil exporters of the Arabian Gulf done in the past to apply Hubbert's forecasts into their…In this question, use the approximate formula-as given by the Fisher equation-for calculating the the real rate of interest. Assume a fixed real interest rate and everyone believes the Central Bank's forecasts. Believing that inflation will be 1% for the year, the current yield on a government bond that matures in one year is 2.9%. The Central Bank then revises its inflation forecast to 1.6% for the year. What will be the yield on government bonds maturing in one year after this revision? Round to one decimal place and do not enter the % sign. If your answer is 1.333%, enter 1.3. If your answer is 1.666%, enter 1.7. If appropriate, remember to enter the negative sign.Q.Assume that a commercial real estate whose monthly rent is TRY6,000 is to be sold at TRY4,000,000. Inflation rate has been 10% and the nominal interest rate 16% on the average for the last 15 years. The economy has grown at a real rate of 4% over the same period, so have rental revenues. If an investor has adaptive expectations, should he/she buy the real estate or not? Explain why.
- explain why changes in consumption are unpredictable if consumer obey the permanent income hypothesis and have rational expectations? explain in detail. Book Mankiw chapter 14Could you expnad on how you got the equilibrium interest rate value? i don't get 0.065 when is solve the euqation 900 = 50/(1+i) + 50/(i+1)^2 + 1000/(1+i)^2. Also, my answer from plugging into the equation i part a. to find the demand and supply at YTM = 0.05, doesn't match using the same equation to get the answer?What are the major economic functions of the interest rate? How might the fact that many businesses fifinance their investment activities internally affect the effifi ciency with which the interest rate performs its functions?
- Suppose that interest rate on the one-year bond is 4%, interest rate on the two-year bond is 6%, and interest rate on the three-year bond is 8% According to the expectations theory, what is expected interest on the one-year bond two years from now? Select one: a. 6% O b. 12% C. 10% d. 8%1. f the current interest rate on a 1-year bond is 2.80% while market participants expect a 1-year interest rate of 1.30% next year, then the expectations theory predicts that the interest rate on a 2-year bond will be ___ %: 2. If the current 1-year interest rate is 3% and the current interest rate on a 2-year bond is 4%, what is the expected 1-year rate starting a year from today? 3. You observe that currently, a 1-year bond has an interest rate of 3.00% while a 2-year bond has an interest rate of 3.00%. This means that, according to the expectations theory (no liquidity premium), market participants expect the 1-year interest rate in one year from now to be ___%:D) Discussing the Equilibrium in the Endowment Economy: In the endowment economy, aggregate consumption must equal aggregate endowment ineach period. Using this condition and the optimal consumption functions derived,discuss how the equilibrium real interest rate rtis determined in this economy. Explainthe role of the real interest rate in ensuring equilibrium in the lending market and why itis necessary for achieving this equilibrium (e) Analyzing the Effect of Changes in Relative Risk Aversion:Given the consumption functions, discuss how changes in the coefficient of relative riskaversion (σ) affect the household’s consumption choices and the sensitivity of these choicesto changes in the real interest rate. Provide an intuitive explanation for your findings.