Given the attached data. Answer the following questions for a 7 period moving average. t At 1 5477 2 3338 3 4799 4 2852 5 6332 6 8385 7 4382 8 4184 9 14229 10 10385 11 11676 12 5271 13 8938 14 9279 15 13990 16 2890 17 13027 18 8970 19 6700 20 7065 21 12491 22 8748 23 8396 24 6102 25 7559 26 7997 27 11981 28 10680 29 5783 30 2501 31 7620 32 10194 33 7908 34 11985 35 5863 36 3024 37 8758 38 1640 39 6569 40 11728 41 6659 42 2830 43 10018 44 8448 45 12409 46 2083 47 6374 48 7438 49 4576 50 4795

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.6: Moving Averages Models
Problem 22P: The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six...
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Given the attached data. Answer the following questions for a 7 period moving average.

t At
1 5477
2 3338
3 4799
4 2852
5 6332
6 8385
7 4382
8 4184
9 14229
10 10385
11 11676
12 5271
13 8938
14 9279
15 13990
16 2890
17 13027
18 8970
19 6700
20 7065
21 12491
22 8748
23 8396
24 6102
25 7559
26 7997
27 11981
28 10680
29 5783
30 2501
31 7620
32 10194
33 7908
34 11985
35 5863
36 3024
37 8758
38 1640
39 6569
40 11728
41 6659
42 2830
43 10018
44 8448
45 12409
46 2083
47 6374
48 7438
49 4576
50 4795

 

MAD = Average(|A-F|)

 

TS =SUM(A-F)/MAD

 

MSE = Average(A-F)2

 

 

1. Compute your forecast for period 51.

 

The potential answers are:

 

A: 11221.6 units.

 

B: 12461 units.

 

C: 8020.83 units.

 

D: 4414 units.

 

E: 6589 units.

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