Estimate the average of MSE of a three-month moving average and an exponential smoothingfor α = 0.3.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.6: Moving Averages Models
Problem 22P: The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six...
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For the Hawkins Company, the monthly percentages of all shipments received on time over the past 12 months are:

Monthly Proportion of All Shipments Received On Time
80
81
85
83
84
86
85
85
82
81
85
84

Estimate the average of MSE of a three-month moving average and an exponential smoothingfor α = 0.3. 

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3.56
4.25
4.58
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