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- CASE 4: PROJECTING SALES USING MOVING AVERAGE The sales (in thousands) of a particular beverage of a popular milk tea shop for each quarter of the following months and trend values were found using moving averages as follows: Actual Sales (in thousands) Year Quarter Trend 4 3 4 24 1 2 30 30 3 60 31 4 20 35 1 20 40 50 45 3 80 50 4 40 54 7 1 40 57 62 3 92 4 1 LO COThe schedular at ZamTech uses MPS time-phased records for planning and item production. The planner is currently working on a schedule for a strut assembly, one of ZamTechs top-selling spare parts.The planner uses a production lot size of 170 and a safety stock of 15 for the strut assembly. The planner has the following forecasts (Ft) and orders (Dt) for the next 8 weeks, as shown in Table 1. Table 1 Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Ft 130 130 130 140 140 140 145 145 Dt 45 38 18 Required: a) Help the master production scheduler to fill in the MPS time-phased record shown in Table 2 for the strut assembly. There are 120 units on hand. Table 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Ft Dt EIt-1 Pt EIt ATPt b) Can the planner accept the following orders? Update the MPS time-phased record for accepted orders, in Table 3. Table 3 Order Quantity Desired week 1 120 4 2 144 6 3 100 2…Product A is an assemble-to-order product. It has a lot size of 150, and currentlyhas an on-hand inventory of 110 units. There is a 2-week demand time fence and a12-week planning time fence. The following table gives the original forecast and theactual customer orders for the next 12 weeks:Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Forecast 80 80 80 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70Demand 83 78 65 61 49 51 34 17 11 7 0 0a. Given this information, develop a realistic master schedule, complete with ATPlogic.b. Tell how you would respond to each of the following customer order requests.Assume these are independent requests, and do not have cumulative effects.■ 20 units in week 3■ 40 units in week 5■ 120 units in week 7
- Corporate triple-A bond interest rates for 12 consecutive months follow. Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Value 9.5 9.3 9.4 9.6 9.8 9.7 9.8 10.5 9.9 9.7 9.6 9.6 a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? b. Develop the three-month moving averages for this time series. Compute MSE. c. Compute MAE. d. Compute MAPE. e. What is the three-month moving average forecast for the next month (month 13)?Quarterly sales of PnP (in hundred million Rands) from 2000 to 2004 are given in the table below: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2000 5 6 8 9 2001 6 8 9 11 2002 10 9 12 10 2003 13 10 15 10 2004 14 16 15 14 What is the five period moving average for 2002_Q2 (round off to one decimals). A. 10.8 B. 10.4 C. 10.2 D. 10.0What is the i rst step in CPFR?
- The fo llowing a re monthly actual and forecastdemand levels for May through December for units of a productmanufactured by the D. Bishop Company in Des Moines: What is the value of the tracking signal as of the end of December?Exercise Torecast CIT ▷ Complete the table Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 Forecast demand 700 760 780 790 850 950 Actual demand 660 840 750 835 910 890 ▷ What is MAD? MAPE? TS? Deviation RSFE (Cumulative sum of forecast errors) MAD (Mean absolute deviation) APE (absolute % error) +You have been tasked with the development of an aggregate plan for the year ended 31 December 2022. Accordingly, you have developed monthly forecasts for a range of motorcycles as presented in Table 5.1, below. Table 5.1: The demand forecast developed for the year ended 31 December 2022. MONTH Jan-2022 Feb-2022 Mar-2022 Apr-2022 May-2022 Jun-2022 Jul-2022 Aug-2022 Sep-2022 Oct-2022 Nov-2022 Dec-2022 PRODUCTION DAYS DEMAND FORECAST 16 16 23 21 22 22 21 20 20 20 16 16 150 150 250 250 400 500 600 750 450 250 150 150 Compute and tabulate the daily demand for each month in the table below (round off to the nearest whole number).
- Company Name: Floward (flowers Market) Create a campaign for your company to launch, starting January 2021 till December, that will be active for 12 months. Marketing budget: SR 450,000 to spend on digital advertising media over the next 12 months. The budget also includes up to SR 340,500 for advertising creative and content development, and for the company to manage the program. Monitoring and Optimization: describe how you will measure and improve digital marketing performance during the campaign. What tools you will use to monitor the campaign’s activity. (Must include screenshots of the monitoring tools that will keep track of your costs and activity).Lenovo uses the ZX-81 chip in some of its laptop computers. The prices for the chip during the last 12 months were as follows: Month January February March April May June Price Per Chip $1.90 $1.61 $1.60 $1.85 $1.90 $1.95 Month Mar Apr May Forecast $1.76 1.61 1.73 Month July August Jun 1.88 September October November December This exercise contains only parts a, b, and c. a) Using a 2-month moving average, the forecast for periods 11 and 12 is (round your responses to two decimal places): Price Per Chip $2.00 $1.85 $1.70 $1.55 $1.50 $1.75 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1.93 1.98 1.93 1.78Describe the significance of a problem statement and what exactly is included in a problem statement.
