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Discuss the role of demand forecasting in the Wilson approach and its impact on inventory decisions.
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- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?
- The table below comprises of demand from the last 10 months: Month Demand 1 31 2 34 3 33 4 35 5 37 6 36 7 38 8 40 9 40 10 41 Calculate the exponential smoothing with trend forecast for the second month using a alpha and delta of 0.3 each. Take the initial exponentially smoothed forecast (F1) of 30 and initial trend forecast (T1) of 1. Note: I have tried solving this question and I got 31, but unfortunately it was the wrong answer.Although a demand forecast is usually not accurate, managers must forecast demand. In this context explain the purpose of demand forecast. In practice, how should a manager select an appropriate demand forecasting technique?Develop an appropriate forecast model for bookstoremanagement to use to forecast computer demand for thenext fall semester and indicate how accurate it appearsto be. What other forecasts might be useful to the book-store in managing its supply chain?
- Problem 18-3 (Algo) Given the following history, use a three-quarter moving average to forecast the demand for the third quarter of this year. Note, the 1st quarter is Jan, Feb, and Mar; 2nd quarter Apr, May, Jun; 3rd quarter Jul, Aug, Sep; and 4th quarter Oct, Nov, Dec. Last year This year JAN 150 170 FEB MAR 170 190 190 APR MAY 235 225 175 245 270 Forecast for the third quarter JUN 250 215 SEP 175 AUG JUL 195 185 OCT 250 ▸ NOV DEC 275 295Discuss how flexibility in production systems relates to the forecast horizon and forecast accuracy?The department manager is using a combination of methods to forecast sales of toasters at a local department store. The demands are shown in the table below. Use two decimals in your answer. Week Actual Demand 24 2 30 3 32 4 35 40 6 43 Using weights of 0.50, 0.30, 0.20, Calculate the weighted three-week moving average for week 6 29.80 O 33.10 36.90 O 40.50
- You have been tasked with the development of an aggregate plan for the year ended 31 December 2022. Accordingly, you have developed monthly forecasts for a range of motorcycles as presented in Table 5.1, below. Table 5.1: The demand forecast developed for the year ended 31 December 2022. MONTH Jan-2022 Feb-2022 Mar-2022 Apr-2022 May-2022 Jun-2022 Jul-2022 Aug-2022 Sep-2022 Oct-2022 Nov-2022 Dec-2022 PRODUCTION DAYS DEMAND FORECAST 16 16 23 21 22 22 21 20 20 20 16 16 150 150 250 250 400 500 600 750 450 250 150 150 Compute and tabulate the daily demand for each month in the table below (round off to the nearest whole number).Discuss the importance of accurate forecasts in supply chain management.TIRES FOR YOU - Forecast & EOQ Forecast Tires for You, Inc. (TFY), founded in 1987, is an automotive repair shop specializing in replacement tires. Located in Altoona, PA, TFY has grown successfully over the past few years because of the addition of a new general manager, Katie McMullen. Since tire replacement is a major portion of TFY's business (it also performs oil changes, small mechanical repairs, etc.), Katie was surprised at the lack of forecasts for tire consumption for the company. Her senior mechanic, Skip Grenoble, told her that they usually stocked for this year what they sold last year. He readily admitted that several times throughout the season stockouts occurred and customers had to go elsewhere for tires. Although many tire replacements were for defective or destroyed tires, most tires were installed on cars whose original tires had worn out. Most often, four tires were installed at the same time. Katie was determined to get a better idea of how many tires to…