Consider the following scenario analysis:   Scenario                   Probability              Stocks                       Bonds   Recession                            0.30                   -6 %                           +15% Normal Economy               0.30                   +14                             + 7 Boom                                     0.40                   +26                             +5   Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment? Which investment would you prefer?

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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Consider the following scenario analysis:

 

Scenario                   Probability              Stocks                       Bonds

 

Recession                            0.30                   -6 %                           +15%

Normal Economy               0.30                   +14                             + 7

Boom                                     0.40                   +26                             +5

 

  1. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment?
  2. Which investment would you prefer?
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