Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Stocks Bonds Scenario Recession Probability 0.20 -6% 18% Normal economy 0.50 19% 11% Boom 0.30 26% 8% a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? No Yes b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.) Expected Rate of Return Standard Deviation Stocks 16.1 % % Bonds 9.7 % % c. Which investment would you prefer? Bond Which investment would you prefer? Stock

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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Consider the following scenario analysis:
Rate of Return
Stocks
Scenario
Bonds
Probability
0.20
Recession
-6%
18%
Normal economy
0.50
19%
11%
Boom
0.30
26%
8%
a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms?
O No
Ⓒ Yes
b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter
your answers as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.)
Expected Rate of Standard Deviation
Return
Stocks
16.1 %
%
Bonds
9.7 %
%
c. Which investment would you prefer?
Bond
Which investment would you prefer?
Stock
Transcribed Image Text:Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Stocks Scenario Bonds Probability 0.20 Recession -6% 18% Normal economy 0.50 19% 11% Boom 0.30 26% 8% a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? O No Ⓒ Yes b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.) Expected Rate of Standard Deviation Return Stocks 16.1 % % Bonds 9.7 % % c. Which investment would you prefer? Bond Which investment would you prefer? Stock
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