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- Two identically able agents are competing for a promotion. The promotion is awarded on the basis of output (whomever has the highest output, gets the promotion). Because there are only two workers competing for one prize, the losing prize=0 and the winning prize =P. The output for each agent is equal to his or her effort level times a productivity parameter (d). (i.e. Q2=dE1 , Q2=dE2). If the distribution of “relative luck” is uniform, the probability of winning the promotion for agent 1 will be a function of his effort (E1) and the effort level of Agent 2 (E2). The formula is given by...Prob(win)=0.5 + α(E1-E2), where α is a parameter that reflects uncertainty and errors in measurement. High measurement errors are associated with small values of α (think about this: if there are high measurement errors, then the level of an agent’s effort will have a smaller effect on his/her chances of winning). Using this information, please answer the following questions. Both workers have a…The probability that it will rain on any given day is 0.20, and the probability is independent from day to day. You are trying to decide whether or not to make a tee time tomorrow to play golf. This requires a commitment on your part of turning down, say, movie tickets in favor of playing golf. If you accept the tickets, you also make the commitment not to go golfing. There is a weather forecast that signals whether it will rain tomorrow or not. There is a 0.80 probability that it rains when there is a "rainy" forecast and a 0.125 probability of rain when there is a "sunny" forecast. The overall probability of getting a "rainy" forecast is 0.111. Assume you are risk neutral. You place the following monetary values on the potential outcomes: a sunny day at $95 the golf course a rainy day at the movies a rainy day at home a sunny day at the movies $20 -$18 $1Consider a city where everyone commutes to the city center and commuting cost per mile per month is $40. Each household occupies a 1,000-square-foot dwelling and has $7,000 worth of possessions in its dwelling. The probability that any particular household will be burglarized (involving the uninsured loss of all possessions) is 0.10 at the city center and decreases by 0.01 per mile (to 0.09 at one mile, 0.08 at two miles, and so on). The housing price is $1.00 per square foot at the city center. a) Draw the housing-price curve for locations up to five miles from the city center.
- Tonight at 7pm a professional basketball game featuring the Golden State Warriors and the Washington Wizards will be played at the Chase Center, an indoor arena in the Mission Bay neighborhood of San Francisco, California. Our teaching assistants Yang and Guangchu are making fair bets on the game. During office hours you learn that Yang thinks the Warriors will win and believes he is making a fair bet, assigning a probability of 5/6 or 83 % to the Warriors winning. Guangchu is betting on the Wizards and also believes he is making a fair bet, assigning a probability of 7/12 or 58% to the Wizards winning. You seek to bet a total of $N with Yang and Guangchu and capture a guaranteed, risk-free arbitrage profit. Now assume that N = $240. Let x be the number of dollars bet with Yang. What is the exact range of x that guarantees that your profit is greater than or equal to zero, no matter who wins the game? O 40 < ¤ < 140 O 40 < ¤ < 24O O0 < x< 140 O0Suppose Var(X) = 36, Var(Y) = 42, and X and Y are independent. What is Var(.25X + .75Y)? Suppose Var(X) = 63, Var(Y) = 87, and X and Y are independent. What is Var(.79X + .21Y)? Suppose that Var(X) = 907.96, Var(X) = 10219.44, and Cov(X,Y) = 2694.59. What is Var(.33X + .67Y)?Bella Robinson and Steve Carson are running for a seat in the U.S. Senate. If both candidates campaign only in the major cities of the state, then Robinson is expected to get 80% of the votes; if both candidates campaign in only rural areas, then Robinson is expected get 75% of the votes; if Robinson campaigns exclusively in the city and Carson campaigns exclusively in the rural areas, then Robinson is expected to get 30% of the votes; finally, if Robinson campaigns exclusively in the rural areas and Carson campaigns exclusively in the city, then Robinson is expected to get 65% of the votes. (a) Construct the payoff matrix for the game. (Enter each percentage as a decimal.) Carson City Rural Robinson CityRural Is the game strictly determined? YesNo (b) Find the optimal strategy for both Robinson (row) and Carson (column). P = Q =please send handwritten solution for Q3If Cov(X,Y) = 639, then what is Cov(19X,10Y)? Suppose Cov(X,Y) = 43. What is Cov(0.23X, 0.33Y)? Suppose Cov(X,Y) = 872. What is Cov(0.99X, 0.86Y)?You work at a mechanic shop. 40% of cars that come in have a flat tire. If there are 50 cars in the shop, what is the probability that more than 30 have a flat tire? Round to three decimal points.