ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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- If a forecast made using all available information is NOT perfectly accurate, then it is an adaptive expectation. not a rational expectation. still a rational expectation. a second-best expectation.arrow_forwardNatalie entered a raffle recently and never checked her tickets. She has recently learned the exact number of the other unchecked tickets. Based on this information she knows that there is a 30% chance that she has won the raffle prize of $1,600. If she does not win the raffle her wealth will be zero. Natalie has a von Neumann- Morgenstern utility such that she wants to maximize the expected value of cvc, where cc is total wealth. What is the minimum price for which Natalie would sell her raffle tickets? $arrow_forwardIf the farmer uses pesticides he expects a crop of 60,000 bushels; if he does not use pesticides he expects a crop of 55,000 bushels. The cost of pesticides is $20,000 and the other costs associated with planting and harvesting the crop total $450,000. The price of corn at harvest time will either be $10.00 with probability of 0.50 or it will be $12.00 with probability 0.50, so if the farmer decides to sell the crop at harvest, the expected price per bushel that he will receive is $11.00. If the farmer does not use pesticides and decides to sell the crop at harvest, what is his expected revenue? a. $550,000.00 b. $660,000.00 c. $600,000.00 d. $605,000.00arrow_forward
- please only do: if you can teach explain each partarrow_forwardSoft selling occurs when a buyer is skeptical of the usefulness of a product and the seller offers to set a price that depends on realized value. For example, suppose a sales representative is trying to sell a company a new accounting system that will, with certainty, reduce costs by 10%. However, the customer has heard this claim before and believes there is only a 30% chance of actually realizing that cost reduction and a 70% chance of realizing no cost reduction. Assume the customer has an initial total cost of $300. According to the customer's beliefs, the expected value of the accounting system, or the expected reduction in cost, is . Suppose the sales representative initially offers the accounting system to the customer for a price of $19.50. The information asymmetry stems from the fact that the has more information about the efficacy of the accounting system than does the . At this price, the customer purchase the accounting system, since the expected…arrow_forwardQ1) An expected utility maximiser owns a car worth £60000£60000 and has a bank account with £20000£20000. The money in the bank is safe, but there is a 50%50% probability that the car will be stolen. The utility of wealth for the agent is u(y)=ln(y)u(y)=ln(y) and they have no other assets.arrow_forward
- Suppose 1,250 raffle tickets are being sold for $5 each. One ticket will be chosen to receive a cash prize of $2,500, and three tickets will be chosen to recelve cash prizes of $500. Let x be the amount of money won/lost by purchasing one raffle ticket. Find the expected value for . (Round your answer to the nearest penny. Do not include as sign in your answer. Your answer may be positive or negative.)arrow_forwardPriyanka has an income of £90,000 and is a von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility maximiser with von Neumann-Morgenstern utility index . There is a 1 % probability that there is flooding damage at her house. The repair of the damage would cost £80,000 which would reduce the income to £10,000. a) Would Priyanka be willing to spend £500 to purchase an insurance policy that would fully insure her against this loss? Explain. b) What would be the highest price (premium) that she would be willing to pay for an insurance policy that fully insures her against the flooding damage?arrow_forwardLucy, the manager of the medical test firm Dubrow Labs, worries about the firm being sued for botched results from blood tests. If it isn't sued, the firm expects to earn profit of $120, but if it is successfully sued, its profit will be only $20. Lucy believes that the probability of a successful suit is 20%. If fair insurance is available and Lucy is risk averse, how much insurance will she buy? Lucy will buy insurance that costs her $ when not successfully sued. (Enter your response as a whole number.)arrow_forward
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